[Salon] Fragile lifeline



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-08-01/a-fragile-lifeline-opens-up-for-ukraine

There was some rare good news out of Ukraine today when a vessel loaded with 26,000 tons of corn left the port of Odesa — the first legal shipment of grain since Russia’s invasion began in late February.

It’s a small step but potentially significant for some of the world’s poorest countries as they wrestle with soaring food prices caused in part by uncertainty over supplies of millions of tons of Ukrainian grain blocked by Russia’s assault.

Yet the fragility of the July 22 agreement brokered by Turkey and the United Nations for safe shipping corridors from Black Sea ports is all too apparent as the war rages in its sixth month.

Russia shelled Ukraine’s southern city of Mykolaiv again today after a weekend of intense missile strikes that killed a grain-exporting tycoon and his wife in what officials in Kyiv called a targeted attack. A Ukrainian counter-offensive against Russia’s occupation of nearby Kherson is gaining momentum, with fighting reported across the region.

President Vladimir Putin threatened a “lightning” response to what he called any encroachments on Russia’s sovereignty and freedom under a new naval doctrine he signed yesterday.

Even as Putin’s military struggles to make headway in eastern Ukraine against forces bolstered by new US and European long-range artillery, Russian strategists haven’t abandoned their goal of seizing southern regions of the country. Their aim is to cripple Ukraine’s economy by choking off vital exports through its Black Sea ports.

The Razoni cargo ship’s voyage to Lebanon via Istanbul could just be a starter. Ukraine says at least 16 more ships are waiting their turn near Odesa if the journey goes smoothly. The Kremlin today called the shipment a “positive” development.

It’s a slender maritime lifeline for Ukraine and for the global fight to avert famine.

But it’s the battle on the ground that will determine how long it survives. 

The Razoni is heading to Tripoli, Lebanon, with Ukrainian corn. Source: Ukrainian Ministry of Infrastructure


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