By Yuka Hayashi Aug. 15, 2023
WASHINGTON—To revive the U.S. chip industry,
the Biden administration has launched one of the most significant acts
of government intervention since World War II—and it is relying on
masters of the free market to deliver the goods.
Since the passage of the bipartisan Chips and Science Act last summer, the Commerce Department has been quietly building a
small team of elite Wall Street financiers to help allocate $39 billion
in taxpayer-funded manufacturing subsidies and other incentives to
hundreds of companies.
The
team members call it a startup within the government. The roughly three
dozen professionals range in age from 23 to 64, and nearly half are
women. They operate out of the cavernous Commerce Department building
near the White House, in cramped rooms with steel furniture and tall
partitions between cubicles.
The Biden administration has frequently tangled with American corporations over
its economic policies. But when it comes to bringing advanced
semiconductor manufacturing back to the U.S., administration officials
say they need the skills of investment bankers, private-equity investors
and management consultants.
“Markets don’t always work perfectly,” said Todd Fisher, a former executive at private-equity firm KKR who leads the investment team of the Chips Program Office.
“We are trying to correct a dislocation,” Fisher said, because “other countries put their thumb on the scale.”
Presidents have long gone to Wall Street to fill top jobs, with Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell and former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin
among the recent examples. But the recruitment of an entire team of
private-sector professionals is unprecedented, economists say, and
reflects the central role chips play in modern economies—powering everything from household electronics to advanced weapons systems.
The intensifying technology and military rivalry with China was the crucial factor in last year’s passage of the Chips Act.
“The stakes are high and the world is watching,” says John Neuffer,
head of the Semiconductor Industry Association. “It’s critical we get
this big experiment in industrial policy right for America.”
The
performance of Fisher’s team will be an early test of whether the
government can bring back some of the most advanced manufacturing to
America’s shores after decades of outsourcing. The U.S. makes only about
10% of global semiconductor supplies and none of the most advanced
chips, which are mostly manufactured in Taiwan.
Some economists are skeptical of industrial policy whereby the government attempts to shape strategic industries using subsidies and tax incentives.
“Politics
always takes over,” said Gary Clyde Hufbauer, a nonresident senior
fellow at Peterson Institute for International Economics who has studied
U.S. industrial policy.
The
big challenge for the team, he said, is expected pressure from the
White House and Congress to steer funds to favored constituencies. As
the 2024 election season heats up, he predicts, the program will become
“less on chips, and more on creating happy stories for job creation.”
Commerce
Department officials say that the allocation won’t be based on politics
and that one reason the government assembled the Wall Street team was
to ensure careful rewarding of limited federal resources.
“We here at the Commerce Department fundamentally have to be good stewards of taxpayer dollars,” said Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, who described the team as “unbelievably talented and experienced.”
The
team includes Sara O’Rourke, a former partner at McKinsey & Co.,
Farha Faisal, who previously worked at private-equity company
Blackstone, and former Goldman Sachs bankers Kevin Quinn and Srujan Linga. Mary Alex Smith is an investment principal and a former JPMorgan banker.
The job is to pick winners and losers among some 460 applicants, including top semiconductor companies such as Intel, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Their choices will face heavy scrutiny—some of it by members of Congress.
“In
an investment firm, nobody ever knows all the deals you didn’t do,”
says Quinn, a senior relationship director who was co-head of global
technology banking at Goldman before founding his own investment firm.
“Here, you are accountable for all your no’s, and there are a lot of
no’s.”
In
Quinn’s cubicle—the first one he’s had since 1994—sits a copy of Chris
Miller’s “Chip War.” Required reading for the team, the book examines
the geopolitics surrounding semiconductors. Team members bought copies at their
own expense. Accustomed to private-sector perks, Quinn shrugged his
shoulders as he mentioned a requirement to fly coach for work trips to
Asia.
With
Raimondo—herself a former venture-capital executive—taking a hands-on
role, the investment team works similarly to the way that Wall Street
deal teams do.
Each
Chips Act grant applicant is assigned a senior relationship director
and investment officers. The team’s junior members work long hours
crunching numbers to build quantitative models to see whether the
projects will pencil out.
The
team must ensure funded projects fulfill President Biden’s political
agenda, including promoting a diverse workforce. Some in the chip
industry have complained about strings attached to the program’s
funding, including restrictions on expansion in China, limits on executive compensation, and mandatory daycare for workers’ children.
The
investment team works closely with officials specializing in Biden
strategies, including defense experts and economists. Investment team
members report to Michael Schmidt, director for the Chips Program Office
and a former New York state official.
Officials won’t say when Chips Act funds will be awarded, but industry executives expect it could be as soon as late this year.
“We are literally designing the strategy, designing the organization and designing the investment process as we go,” said O’Rourke, the team’s operations chief.
The
initial allocation will be just a first step. Compared with the
industry’s long-term investment needs, the $39 billion in manufacturing
incentives is a “rounding error,” says Stacy Rasgon, a senior analyst at Bernstein Research.
TSMC plans to spend $40 billion to build new advanced plants in Arizona.
The industry needs to spend $3 trillion globally in research and
equipment over the next decade to meet the demand for chips, according
to a Boston Consulting Group estimate.
“We will not be successful if we don’t find ways to use our money to incentivize private capital,” Fisher said.
That
task falls heavily on Linga, who leads the team’s financial structuring
group. As a top banker specializing in asset-backed financing at
Goldman, he helped airlines borrow by using frequent-flier programs as collateral and Sprint issue debt backed by wireless spectrum licenses.
An Indian immigrant who traded a $5 million annual paycheck for a $183,500-a-year government job, Linga said he realized the national security implications
at stake when he bumped into an army general at Raimondo’s office
during his job interview. “When the U.S. government offers you a role
like this, it’s an honor,” he said.
Linga is looking for ways semiconductor suppliers can
raise money from pension funds and insurance companies. To make lending
more attractive, he says, loans can be secured by the value of
equipment, intellectual property and infrastructure.
Some
team members, including investment director Faisal, who used to work at
Blackstone, say America’s reliance on foreign-made chips has become an
Achilles’ heel, justifying government intervention—for now. Longer term,
they say, the aim is to build an industry that can fund its own
growth.
“We are going to do this because we want to spur the private sector to come in,” Faisal said.
Write to Yuka Hayashi at Yuka.Hayashi@wsj.com