A showdown between the Australian Labor government and its rank and
file over the government’s nuclear-powered Aukus submarine deal is set
to unfold at a key decision-making conference this week as domestic
disapproval of Aukus grows.
Following the March announcement of an
agreement with the United States and Britain for Australia to acquire up
to eight submarines, and the necessary military and civilian training,
the government’s party members, anti-war groups and many unions have
become increasingly agitated.
They say the Aukus deal
could cede Australia’s sovereignty to the US, unravel the country’s
non-nuclear commitments and hurt the pockets of taxpayers because of the
A$368 billion (US$237 billion) cost over the next 30 years.
Similar
concerns have also been echoed by neighbouring countries including
Malaysia and Indonesia, mainly about how the two-year-old Aukus
threesome could unsettle the region’s security or start an arms race,
although analysts say the Albanese government’s diplomacy efforts have
managed to assuage some of these reservations.
Domestic anxieties
about the Aukus military pact and the underlying submarines purchase –
particularly from party members – have, however, reached a crescendo
ahead of Labor’s key triennial conference starting Thursday, prompting
Defence Minister Richard Marles and Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy
to hold a special video briefing on Monday night to try to placate
members and defuse tension.
The conference, which locks down
party policies that shape how the government manages Australia, is
largely a rubber-stamp of what has already been fought out and agreed
upon. However,
more than 50 branches have passed motions for the government to review
or withdraw from the Aukus alliance and groups within the party such as
Labor Against War have consequently managed to force a debate on Aukus
into the conference’s agenda.
Labor Against War
acknowledges the 50 branches – out of hundreds – is just a start and
says “it is inappropriate to endorse Aukus given its problematic
features”. “There
are so many things wrong with Aukus … putting Australia on a ‘war
footing’ with our main trading partner just makes no sense,” said Marcus
Strom, a spokesman for Labor Against War and a former press secretary
for the Albanese government.
He said Aukus is seen
as “crossing a line on nuclear power that has been at the heart of Labor
principle” and would “create a loophole in the nuclear
non-proliferation treaty [in force since 1970] for non-nuclear-armed
countries to access weapons-grade uranium”.
The government admits it has no solution for nuclear waste, he added.
The
potential erosion of Australia’s sovereignty is also worrying some amid
people like Kurt Campbell, US President Biden’s so-called Asia tsar,
telling Washington that submarines provided to Australia “are not lost”,
Strom said.
Campbell said the vessels were merely
deployed to “the closest possible allied force” during a discussion with
the US-based Centre for Strategic and International Studies in June. “This clearly implies the US expects to retain control of the submarines,” Strom said.
Party
members and the Australian public alike have spoken up publicly about
the current government’s detraction from Labor values, values
traditionally seen in the commitment towards peacebuilding and the
scepticism of US militarism.
Prominent members like former prime
minister Paul Keating and former foreign minister Bob Carr have been
openly critical of Aukus.
A debate is now set for Friday morning
to discuss the removal of “Aukus” from Labor’s platform on defence, but
not before a major protest takes place outside the conference.
Strom’s
Labor Against War, trade unions – the grass roots of the party – and
peace groups will be rallying against Aukus and a potential war with
China. The demonstrations have also been backed by 20 organisations. It is not the first display of dissent against Aukus. In
May, Labor unionists rallied at Wollongong’s Port Kembla, near Sydney,
to rule out the site as a future base for the submarines.
“Many
Australians are starting to understand that the decision of whether or
not to go to war has been taken away from the Australian government and,
by virtue of that, the Australian people,” Arthur Rorris, head of the
South Coast Labour Council, a union, told local media after the Port
Kembla rally in May.
“There’s clearly been a coup
in defence policy. Slowly but surely they shifted the focus of our
defence from defending Australia to defending US economic interests in
the South China Sea.” A US submarine docks at a port in Rockingham on the outskirts of
In
March, Michele O’Neil, the president of the Australian Council of Trade
Unions – which brings 36 unions together – said they backed a
“nuclear-free defence policy”.
Various debates and rallies have been
held across the country by groups like the Australian Anti-Aukus
Coalition, Australians for War Powers Reform and the Independent and
Peaceful Australia Network, which conducted a peace speaking tour
earlier this month that was joined by representatives from the Pacific
Ocean’s island of Guam – a US territory since its capture from Spain in
1898 – and Japan’s island of Okinawa. There are thousands of American
troops in both places.
In March, Nobel Peace Prize
winner, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN)
civil society coalition campaigned against Aukus, saying it had moved
Australia from a non-nuclear state to a position of “provocation”
supporting the US in a potential war in northeast Asia.
In
May, high-profile politicians, former military leaders and academic
experts took out a newspaper advertisement calling for a parliamentary
inquiry, saying “questions about Aukus remain unanswered”.
More
than 100 university academics penned an open letter decrying Aukus that
same month. “The government has not made clear how Aukus will translate
into a safer Australia,” the letter said.
But all of this does not
mean there will be significant victory against Aukus on Friday, said one
of the signatories, Scott Burchill, a honorary fellow in international
relations at Deakin University.
“If anything,
Albanese has been more pro-Washington than [former prime minister Scott]
Morrison. He knows he doesn’t have to worry about significant factional
opposition,” he said, referring to full support for Aukus from both the
left and right factions of the party thus far.
Opposition
to Aukus might not gain traction anyway as it “encompasses such an
incoherent mishmash of grumbles”, said Matthew Sussex, a fellow at the
Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National
University. Labor
Against War’s Strom is aware many party members will be loyal to the
government and keep their counsel on Aukus, but he says the debate on
Friday is just the beginning.
“The dangers of Aukus are too important for us not to speak out,” he said.