Marshall Islands, feeling neglected by the U.S., enjoys new leverage
MAJURO,
Marshall Islands — The leaders of the Marshall Islands, a collection of
29 coral atolls lying halfway between Hawaii and Australia, know
exactly why the United States just agreed to a deal promising $700
million in new support over four years.
“It’s
because of China. We’re not naive,” Marshallese Foreign Minister
Kitlang Kabua said in an interview at a restaurant close to the
country’s parliament in the capital of Majuro. It offered a view of a
vast lagoon speckled with rusted fishing ships that bring in tuna, and
the coconut palms that fringe the thin circle of land that makes up the
Marshalls’ main atoll.
Fishing and harvesting are not, however, sufficient to support the country’s population of about 80,000.
For
the past 40 years, the Marshall Islands has relied on financial
assistance from its former colonizer, the United States, which carried
out 67 nuclear tests on two Marshallese atolls in the 12 years after
World War II.
The
current 20-year treaty expires this year, and talks about a new deal
were not going particularly well last year. Then the Marshalls’
government got Washington’s attention when several top officials
refused to attend treaty negotiations running alongside a high-level Pacific summit at the White House in September unless the Biden administration agreed to a better deal.
The
bargaining tactic worked: The administration dispatched high-level
representatives to the Marshall Islands for further negotiations, where a
newer and much larger agreement was reached.
The
case of the Marshall Islands is emblematic of the increasingly fervent
geopolitical competition in the Pacific as the United States and China
jostle for influence.
The
Biden administration has acknowledged that Pacific islands got a “short
shrift” as the United States focused its attention elsewhere. It is now
rapidly trying to make up for lost time as China lavishes money and
attention on many island nations in an attempt to grow influence across
the Pacific and reap economic, diplomatic and military gains.
“We’re
caught between two big powers like a girl two boys are fighting over,”
said Peterson Jibas, a Marshallese senator and member of the country’s
negotiating team.
This
month, the Biden administration agreed to the outlines of a formal
deal, pledging $700 million to the Marshall Islands’ national trust fund
to help foster economic development, support nuclear victims and
protect against climate change. It is also negotiating similar deals
with two other Micronesian countries: the Federated States of Micronesia
and Palau.
Joseph
Yun, Biden’s special envoy in the negotiations, insisted in an
interview with The Washington Post that a range of issues shaped his
offer, including climate change and the Marshall Islands’ “steady”
support of America. But, he admitted: “It’s no secret — China is a
factor.”
The
new agreement gives Washington significant control over Marshallese
foreign policy, a veto over foreign military use of Marshallese
territory — which, with Palau and the Federated States of Micronesia,
covers an expanse of ocean larger than the continental United States —
and a long-term lease over the land used for a critical American
military base.
In return, the United States provides financial support and allows Marshallese citizens visa-free access to America.
The
islands’ leaders have long complained that previous deals did not
adequately compensate them for the damage done by American nuclear
testing here.
Just
two years after the United States took control of the Marshall Islands
from Imperial Japan in 1944, it began testing its new nuclear weapons
here, detonating the equivalent of 7,000 Hiroshima bombs on Bikini and
Enewetak atolls by 1958, causing heightened cancer rates, miscarriages
and ongoing resentment that lingered long after the fallout had cleared.
“They
say communism is bad, but China didn’t drop 67 bombs on us,” said
Jibas, who represents Bikini and remains suspicious of his country’s
main financial contributor. “America is like a white rat with red eyes.”
Both Washington and Beijing understand the strategic importance of island nations like the Marshalls.
The
United States gained control here only after thousands of Americans
died during its brutal World War II campaign through Micronesia.
Although the United States said at the time that it was liberating the
Marshall Islands from Japanese colonizers, when the war ended it never
left. Instead, it took over its governance, using it as a “buffer”
against competitors like China and a home for military bases, local
officials say.
Even
after Micronesian countries gained independence in the late-20th
century, Washington maintained control through agreements like the one
with the Marshall Islands.
The
imbalance of power meant the Marshall Islands had previously struggled
to press its case, Jibas said. “America is like an older brother. What
do you do when he slaps you?”
Yet
the frustration of people like Jibas co-exists alongside a degree of
goodwill felt by others, born of the United States’ long presence in
Micronesia. Many Marshallese routinely refer to America as “the
mainland.”
The
Americans “are friendly people,” said Lillian Maika, who sat in a cozy
home on the small island of Ebeye. Above her hung a photograph of her
son, who was killed while serving in South Korea with the American
military. While she says “too many” Marshallese are coaxed into the
military out of a lack of other opportunities, she still appreciated
that America “gives us work, plenty of money. We get what we need.”
That
familiarity with America is matched by a general suspicion of China.
Lucia Lomae, an elderly Marshallese woman who cradled her grandchild
outside her home on the remote island of Enubirr, thought that “China is
not good,” although she said she wasn’t sure why.
Ongoing poverty and a growing Chinese presence, however, mean familiarity alone is increasingly insufficient.
Beijing
last year proposed a sweeping Pacific-wide economic and security
agreement that would have led to increased trade and Chinese involvement
in the training of regional police forces, among other things.
While Pacific nations rejected the deal
during a regional summit, several nations expressed interest in a
modified version. China has also notched significant wins with several
individual Pacific nations.
Kiribati,
which lies immediately south of the Marshall Islands, cut ties with
Taiwan in favor of China in 2019, and signed as many as 10 agreements
deepening relations during a visit by China’s foreign minister last May.
The Solomon Islands meanwhile signed a controversial agreement allowing
it to invite China to deploy armed police and military personnel there,
sparking fears China might construct a military base in the country.
Solomon Islands officials have dismissed such concerns, but this has not
assuaged Western fears.
At the same time, China has provided Kiribati and the Solomon Islands with significant aid and financing.
Hence
the sudden American effort to pay more attention — and more financial
aid — to the region. At the September White House summit, Biden promised
an additional $810 million in aid for the Pacific generally.
“The
security of America, quite frankly, and the world depends on your
security and the security of the Pacific islands,” Biden said at the
time.
But
the United States’ fraught history also means Pacific officials treat
such commitments carefully. Despite her significant victories, the
Marshallese foreign minister remains cautious.
“If
we take you as a friend, we expect you to act as a friend. But the U.S.
is a different matter. They’re sneaky. They’re smart,” Kabua said.
Now
the Marshall Islands is enjoying playing its stronger hand. In its
most recent negotiations, “we were much more wary, we were less naive,
we put our foot down and made our demands,” Kabua said. “We found that
this is how we operate with the U.S., and we found it to be effective.”