America
is about to pass the biggest peacetime military budget of any nation in
history. And yet, as the excellent Van Jackson (@WonkVJ) notes,
American militarism is not in a happy place. “It is wild that the House
is appropriating $886 billion for the defense budget … and NOBODY is
happy with it.”
With
good reason Van Jackson concentrates on the grand strategic issues. As
he points out, in an increasingly multipolar world, the demand that the
US should be able to beat anyone, anywhere, any time, is a recipe for
frustration. As he puts it in another tweet “In a multipolarizing world,
there is no real-world force that can close the gap … generated by a
(global) primacy strategy.” The litany of gigantic, over-budget weapons
projects (F35) and prestige military objects of dubious value (carrier
groups) attests to this fact.
At
the same time as the external demands are excessive, the domestic
political foundation of US militarism are fraying as well. In recent
years it was something of a cliché that the one thing that a divided US
polity could agree on was more military spending. Now, not even that is
true, at least not without “culture war” riders.
In
Congress the GOP are holding the defense budget and senior appointments
to ransom. Amongst the wider American public the image of the military
has sharply declined. Meanwhile, the newest branch of the US armed
forces.- the Space Force - launched in 2019 by President Trump, is quite
literally a laughing-stock. At a moment of world historic confrontation
the politics of American militarism are, all at the same time, a matter
of deadly seriousness, blatant pork barrel vote-buying, supercharged
culture wars and kitsch. You might say that it has ever been so. It is a
myth to imagine a once-clean militarism. Actually existing militarism
is always “messy” - a conflict zone of social, economic and political
forces. But America’s current cocktail is both particularly potent and
particularly toxic.
***
The most conspicuous example of this fraying are the remarkable antics of Congressional Republicans. As the Washington Post commented:
For
decades, bipartisan majorities in Congress approved the annual defense
authorization bill ... That long-standing practice collapsed this week …
The House narrowly approved the National Defense Authorization Act by a
vote of 219-210. Four Democrats supported it; four Republicans opposed
it. Last December, the defense authorization cleared the House by
350-80, when Democrats held a slim majority in the chamber and the GOP’s
far-right Freedom Caucus held little sway. There is no realistic chance
that the Democratic-controlled Senate will go along with the House
version approved Friday, which includes limits on abortion, transgender
transition treatment, diversity training and other matters. The Senate
is almost certain to return to the House a defense bill stripped of
those controversial Republican amendments. The bill would then face an
uncertain future as some House Republicans who pushed through the
amendments have vowed to hold the line …
On
the same issues - above all abortion - Sen. Tommy Tuberville of Alabama
has been holding up hundreds of Pentagon promotions for high-ranking
officers. The result is to sabotage the circulation of military elites.
As the New York Times reports: “More than half of the current Joint
Chiefs are expected to step down from their posts during the next few
months without a Senate-approved successor in place”.
No
doubt a procedural work-around will be found to ensure that the US
military has a command chain in place. But the attitude of the far-right
to the US military leadership was well articulated back in the spring
by Tuberville. When challenged on his blockade of senior appointments,
Tuberville shot back: “Experts have known for more than a decade that
the military is top heavy. We do not suffer from a lack of generals,"
For
many on America’s right-wing the emblem of the “top heavy”, liberal
minded, “political” leadership of the US military is Mark Milley,
Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff. In 2020 Milley clashed with President
Trump and felt forced to make contact with his Chinese counterparts to
convey “reassurance in order to maintain strategic stability.” Since
then Trump has accused Milley of “TREASON.” Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) wants him “immediately” fired and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) wants him court-martialed.
It
is worth pausing to consider the implications of this escalation
between the US military top brass and the radical right-wing of the
Republican party. If Trump were to take office again in January 2025,
how would he act in relation to a military command chain with which he
was so conspicuously at odds?
Milley went on to rub salt in the wound with his robust defense of a military curriculum at West Point
that included works on Critical Race Theory. In response to criticism
by the likes of Rep. Mike Waltz (R-Fla.) Milley replied: “I’ve read Mao
Zedong. I’ve read Karl Marx. I’ve read Lenin. That doesn’t make me a
communist … what is wrong with understanding … the country which we are
here to defend?”
The
question, of course, is precisely what country is Milley defending? The
vision of the United States defended by Florida Republicans does not
encourage the reading of Mao, Marx or Lenin. High-profile Florida
Republican Matt Gaetz responded to Milley’s remarks by tweeting
contemptuously: “With Generals like this it’s no wonder we’ve fought
considerably more wars than we’ve won.”
***
Of
course, Tuberville, Gaetz and Waltz are attention-seekers. But the fact
that they court such controversy points to the fact that there is a
groundswell of right-wing opinion, which see the US military leadership
not simply as defenders of America, but as “political” and as complicit
with a liberal agenda that is anathema to conservative Americans. This
is revealed by striking polling figures compiled by the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute.
These show that though the US military retain more trust than any other
institution in American society, that trust has dwindled dramatically
in recent years.
From
a high of 70 percent in 2018 the share of Americans expressing a great
deal of trust for the US military plunged to 45 percent in 2021 before
recovering to 45 percent in 2022. The singles biggest cause for this
collapse is the perception on the part of conservative Americans that
the military leadership has become “politicized” and complicit with the
liberal agenda they identify with “woke”. These domestic political
issues and in particular the suspicions of conservative Americans far
outweigh any negative judgements about military competence or failure in
Afghanistan.
Strikingly,
when you ask which security risks Americans are most afraid of, what,
in other words, they need defending against, what came top in 2022 were
not foreign threats, but “political divisions within the US leading to
violence.” 85 percent of Americans are concerned about that scenario and
this fear of domestic political violence was shared by both sides (88
Democrat v. 85 percent GOP). Unsurprisingly, Democrats were also more
concerned about Russia’s war on Ukraine. Asked to prioritize Russia and
China 56 % of Republicans ranked China first, against only 19 percent
who put Russia top. 42 % of Democrats put Russia top v. only 32%
prioritizing China. Really big gaps opened up, not over Taiwan (69 v.
75), but over the risk of actual war with China, which concerned 59
percent of Democrats v. 79 percent of Republicans. Likewise there was a
giant gap on climate change which ranked top for Democrats (91%) v. only
41 % for Republicans.
***
Since
the American military is an all-volunteer force public opinion matters
not just as political background. To be confident of being able to
regularly refresh its ranks, the US military needs not just public
affirmation, but also a general conformity between the lifestyles of
young people and martial expectations. In this regard too, the
disconnect is getting progressively wider.
Among
Americans aged 18-29 years of age, just 13% say they are highly willing
to join up, 25% are somewhat willing, 20% and not very willing. More
than a quarter are a hard no. And the military is not just having a hard
time because of this low level of enthusiasm. No more than one in five
young Americans meet the military’s physical and mental fitness
standards.
As War on the Rocks reported in spring 2023:
During the last fiscal year, the Army missed its recruiting goal by 15,000
active-duty soldiers, or 25 percent of its target. This shortfall
forced the Army to cut its planned active-duty end strength from 476,000
to 466,000. And the current fiscal year is likely to be even worse.
The Navy and Air Force did better in part because of the help they received from Hollywood.
Navy
and Air Force recruiters took advantage of the release of Top Gun:
Maverick, which, like its 1986 predecessor, was the highest-grossing
film of the year. A recent analysis showed that the original Top Gun boosted reruitment by 8 percent.
Though
glamorous CGI may make a difference, structurally, the US military is a
highly self-recruiting group. As David Barno and Nora Bensahel point
out, 80 percent of the young people who join the military today have a
family member in the military. Iit may well be that more military
families are steering their children away from uniformed service toward
civilian careers. And this effect may be all the more pronounced because
the regions where US military culture is most deeply entrenched, are
also in the Republican-dominated regions of the South where the
agitation against America’s “woke” military leadership has been most
intense.
One
indicator of this concentration is the distribution of the Junior
Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (JROTC) program in High Schools across
the USA. This program, provides “leadership and citizenship instruction”
to more than half a million high school students each year. But it is
concentrated overwhelmingly in the South.
It
is precisely in the Southern states where military culture is most
widely socialized that the agitation about “woke” and the liberal
proclivities of America’s military leadership is most intense. They have
more skin in the game.
***
Despite all these anxieties, amongst young Americans a recent poll
revealed strongly favorable attitudes towards all branches of the US
military, except one, the newest branch - the Space Force. As the
pollsters were eager to point out, the problem was not that the Space
Force had particularly high negative ratings. The main problem was that
36% simply did not know what to make of the Force at all. This is both
unsurprising and also revealing about the dilemmas of 21st-century
militarism in the US.
The
Space Force was conjured out of a hat by President Trump in 2019. In a
Presidency that was in large part a gigantic exercise in wrestling-mania
kitsch, this might be the most kitsch moment of all. So much so that it
has left many Americans wondering whether the newest branch of
America’s military can possibly be real.
As
newly commissioned Space Force officers have found to their
embarrassment, staff at airport counters are not always easy to convince
that their branch of the military is not a cheaply made Netflix show.
As one officer explained to Military.com on condition of anonymity for
fear of reprisal by Space Force superiors. "We tried to take it on
methodically and convince him that the Space Force was real." But to no
avail. It was not until an airline supervisor intervened that the issue
Space Force’s existence was resolved and the appropriate baggage
discount was granted.
In fact, the Space Force is very real indeed. Its budget of $30 billion is
on a par with that of newly gung-ho Poland. Nor is there any doubt that
the Space Force, in defending America’s space infrastructure, fulfils
an important function with real impact on everyday life in America. As
Space Force Major General DeAnne Burt
noted: Most people are not aware of their reliance on satellites for
routine daily activities like using GPS or trading stocks, and what
could happen if satellites in orbit were taken out of service. “We need
to talk about it as much as we can,” she averred.
But
Space Force’s issues go beyond proving their relevance to the
stock-trading, Robinhood and Reddit crowd. Having been founded as the
first new branch of the US military since the Air Force in 1947 may have
satisfy President Trump’s vanity, but it has become an albatross for
the Space Force leadership. In an age of self-fashioning and identity
politics, how do you found a new branch of 21st-century militarism? What
identity are they to give their relatively small unit of 14,000
personnel and 100 satellites? So far, their efforts have yielded a
series of announcements that tread a fine line between military
tradition, corporate branding and parody.
Setting
up a new branch of the military poses basic questions like, what are
its members to be called? This isn’t a matter of pronouns, but of names.
Are Space Force members space soldiers? Or space sailors? With its
typical thoroughness, the Pentagon entered into a “yearlong process that
produced hundreds of submissions and research involving space
professionals and members of the general public”, to arrive at the conclusion:
No,
I could not decide whether it is a spoof or not, either. But yes,
Guardian really is the chosen name of the newest branch of US military
power. That is what they insist we should call them. And, no don’t
laugh, that logo is not from StarTrek. It really is the logo of the
Space Force.
America
is a society very preoccupied with naming. And the Pentagon is no
exception. It takes the naming business intensely seriously:
The
opportunity to name a force is a momentous responsibility. Guardians is
a name with a long history in space operations, tracing back to the
original command motto of Air Force Space Command in 1983, “Guardians of
the High Frontier.”
Not
satisfied with the pompous title of guardians and the corny emblem,
individual units of the new force go one better. Take the 750th
Operations Group, 50th Space Wing. It was activated in July 2020 as
Space Delta 9. Not satisfied with that groovy title, Space Delta 9
decided to go one better and to add the moniker “Stormbringers”. Why? Because on the afternoon they were activated in July 2020:
a
thunderstorm came rolling over the horizon during the ceremony
establishing the unit in 2020. “It's become a rallying cry for Delta 9
and it came out of that first day when we were activated, and we saw the
power of the Great Plains of Colorado come to bear on us that day,
which is something that a lot of the members here, I'd say all of them,
really take to heart and say that, when called upon, Delta 9 will bring
the storm,” Bigley said.
Having
given themselves a name, a logo and some jazzy handles, Space Force
also needed a pep-song. Having no songs to inherit, they had to write
one from scratch. Unfortunately on this occasion, rather than picking
one of the many excellent Sci-Fi theme tunes for inspiration they
instead rummaged around gilded age “fight songs”, and came up with “Semper Supra”. I challenge you to listen to it with a straight face!
And
the embarrassment does not stop there. Most militaries inherit their
dress costumes from an earlier age in which dress uniforms seemed more
in keeping with the times. The true weirdness of military display
strikes us as less odd when we submerged it into an unquestioned
inheritance. But, what do you do if you are a new branch of the
military, in 21st-century America? Well, if you are the Space Force, you
go fabulous, Sci-Fi fabulous! Instead of some modest adaptation of an
Air Force uniform, the Space Force with less than 10,000 uniformed
personnel, commissioned entirely new outfits - starting, for once, with
the women’s uniform - and drawing inspiration from … yup … you guessed
it … Battlestar Galactica!
***
But
remember, Space Force is real. $30 billion of real. And it is part of
the immensely complicated American military machine. And that machine is
located in real places. And that is where the politics shifts into a
different gear.
The
Space Force itself, like the army and the air force, is based in the
Pentagon. Individual units likes the Space Delta 9 “Stormbringers” are
in locations like Peterson Air Force Base in Colorado Springs.
Coordinating the units provided by Space Force with other military space
assets is Space Command. Reactivated in 2019 at the same time as Space
Force was created, it is the extraterrestrial combat organization.
Space
Command is currently located in Peterson Colorado. This puts it
alongside the National Space Defense Center and the control center for
the GPS constellation of satellites, based out of nearby Schriever Air
Force Base. Colorado Springs is also the HQ or NORAD, the Cold War era
early warning satellite and radar detection system, the ones who track
Santa.
But
space means rockets, and rockets in America means not Colorado Springs,
but Alabama and, in particular Huntsville Alabama otherwise known as
Rocket City. From 1950 onwards the decision to move Wernher von Braun’s
German rocket team to Huntsville - previously known as the Watercress
capital of the world - created a regional military-industrial complex
sometimes known as Pentagon South. For decades Richard Shelby the senior
Senator for Alabama as Chair of the Senate Appropriation’s Committee
controlled the budget of NASA and much else besides and ensured that the
Marshall Space Flight Center remained firmly located in Huntsville.
Apart from NASA, Huntsville is home also to large facilities of Lockheed
Martin (where the Javelin missile is produced), and United Launch
Alliance as well as the U.S. Space Camp.
On
January 14 2021, on her way out the door, just prior to Biden’s
inauguration, Trump’s Air Force Secretary Barbara Barrett designated
Redstone Arsenal in Huntsville as the ultimate home for Space Command.
This tied America’s new space militarism directly to the Alabama
Republican Congressional lobby. So blatant was this move that the final
decision was immediately suspended by the Biden administration and the
process of decision-making subjected to several years of scrutiny. The
decision is still pending. And this means that the decision on Space
Command has been sucked into the current travails of American
militarism, which have Alabama as one of their chief battlegrounds.
Alabama
has not just some of the most right-wing politicians. It also has the
most punitive anti-abortion laws in the United States. This is the
status quo that Sen. Tommy Tuberville defends with his demand that the
Pentagon end support for female members of the force seeking abortions
in states where it is still legal. As NBG News reported, the White House
wants to suspend the relocation of Space Command to Alabama precisely
because of this issue. At a a Senate Armed Services hearing, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H.,
noted that the Missile Defense Agency lost 80 percent of its workforce
when it moved to Alabama in 2005. It is generally agreed that Space
Command’s uniformed professional military members will likely follow
orders to relocate from Colorado. But they make up only 38 percent of
the command’s workforce. Whether the other 62 percent - who are DOD
civilians— will be willing to move is an open question.
***
In a recent memo
Space Force chief of space operations Gen. Chance Saltzman stated that
“Our effectiveness as a military organization depends on an unassailable
relationship with the society we serve.” But in a divided America, that
precisely is the question. What does it mean for a diverse organization
of men and women, wielding means of destruction on a giant scale,
backed by more financial resources than any similar organization in
history, to maintain an “unassailable” relationship with a society that
includes both the liberal parts of American society and Senator
Tuberville and Alabama’s abortion laws?