In an unprecedented and meticulous
operation, Hamas militants broke out of the besieged Gaza Strip,
outsmarting what was considered one of the most powerful and
sophisticated armies in the region. After destroying parts of the fence
encaging Gaza, as well as launching an attack on the Erez Crossing,
thousands of militants took over Israeli military bases, killed or
captured hundreds of soldiers, and then went on to attack a music
festival and occupy several kibbutzim and towns. They killed around
1,300 people, the majority of whom were civilians.
The carnage was brutal. Hundreds of
unarmed partygoers were slain, including some Palestinian citizens who
were there as first responders, drivers, and workers. Entire families
were butchered in their homes, with some survivors witnessing the murder
of their parents or children. In some communities,
as many as one in four residents were either killed or abducted. Thai
and Nepali agricultural workers, as well as Filipino care workers, were
also targeted, with Hamas militants shooting them and in at least one case throwing grenades into a shack where they were hiding.
Palestinians take control of an Israeli
tank after breaching the Gaza fence from Khan Younis, southern Gaza
Strip, October 7, 2023. (Abed Rahim Khatib/Flash90)
Around 240 soldiers and civilians of all ages, ranging from 9 months to over 80 years old, were abducted to Gaza,
and most of them are still held there as hostages, with no connection
to the outside world and with their families having no idea of their
condition. All the while, Hamas has continued to indiscriminately fire
thousands of rockets from Gaza toward Israeli towns and cities.
These war crimes, while not without context,
are entirely unjustifiable. They have rattled so many of us, myself
included, to our core. The false notion that Israelis can live in safety
while Palestinians are routinely killed under a brutal system of
occupation, siege, and apartheid — a notion that Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu championed and instilled within us in his long years in power — came crumbling down.
This feeling has been exacerbated by
the winds of regional war and attacks by Hezbollah against Israeli
soldiers and civilians in northern Israel, to which Israel has responded
with its own artillery and drone strikes in Lebanon, killing combatants
and civilians. This additional front has deepened our existential dread
and the feeling that we, Israelis and Palestinians, are but pawns in
wider regional and global struggles (and not for the first time).
The collapse of our sense of security
came hand in hand with the realization that the entire Israeli state
is, in fact, nothing more than a hologram. The army, rescue services,
the welfare services, and more have all been dysfunctional. This has
left Israeli survivors, the internally displaced, and the families of
the hostages without anyone to turn to, pressing civil society to step
in to fill the void where the government should have been. Years of
political corruption have left us with an empty shell of a state, and
with no leadership to speak of. For Israelis, no matter how we come out
on the other side of the war, we want to make sure that nothing like
October 7 can ever happen again.
Armed Palestinians drive back into the Gaza
Strip with people kidnapped from Israel, east of Khan Younis, southern
Gaza Strip, October 7, 2023. (Flash90)
Israel’s massacres in Gaza
While failing on every other front, and before even regaining control
of all the Hamas-occupied areas in the south on October 7, the Israeli
army immediately went about doing what it knows best: pummeling Gaza.
The justified grief, pain, shock, and anger translated into yet another unjustifiable military assault and campaign of collective punishment against the defenseless 2.3 million residents of the world’s largest open-air prison — the worst we have ever seen.
Along with the first airstrikes,
Israel disconnected the entire Palestinian population of Gaza from
electricity, water, and fuel, turning an already existing humanitarian crisis to a full-blown catastrophe. Then came the army’s orders to evacuate
half of the population — about 1 million people — from the northern
Strip to its south, in addition to a second evacuation from the east to
the west.
The relentless aerial bombardment, both in the north and in the supposedly “safe” south,
has so far killed over 10,000 Palestinians in just one month — by far
the highest rate of deaths that this conflict has ever seen. Most of
these are civilians, among them over 4,000 children. Hundreds of families have been wiped out, including those of two past +972 contributors — one of whom was himself killed, another who survived but lost five members
of his family. One of our colleagues from “We Beyond the Fence,” a
project dedicated to sharing Palestinian stories from Gaza with Israelis
and the world, lost 20 family members.
This does not include the hundreds or
perhaps thousands of bodies, dead or alive, buried under the rubble,
which no one can even begin to dig through. Palestinian residents are
describing the stench of death taking over what remains of some
destroyed neighborhoods. While we Israelis have rocket sirens, Iron Dome
interceptors, and shelters, the people of Gaza have none of these, and
no way to protect themselves against the rain of bombs dropped on all
parts of the besieged enclave.
A ball of fire and smoke rises during Israeli airstrikes in the Gaza Strip, October 9, 2023. (Atia Mohammed/Flash90)
According to the UN, over 45 percent of houses in the Gaza Strip have so far been destroyed or severely damaged by Israel’s attacks. Hospitals are running out of supplies,
and doctors find themselves performing critical medical procedures
without anesthesia and using only phone flashlights to see. Hundreds of
thousands do not have safe access to clean water. Since the army’s
ground invasion began in late October, Israel occasionally enforces
phone and internet blackouts, preventing the injured from calling for
help, or people from checking on their loved ones, or paramedics from
locating the wounded, or journalists from reporting what’s happening on
the ground.
Western governments have so far given
Israel a free hand to commit these atrocities, showing a consistent
double standard between the value of Israeli lives and Palestinian lives
— which is part of what brought us to this situation in the first
place. We are seeing no remorse for the role these actors have played in
silencing and sidelining Palestinians and their allies over the years,
and closing all diplomatic and nonviolent avenues for their liberation —
from boycotts, divestment, and sanctions (BDS) to appealing to the UN
Security Council for intervention.
While news and images of the
destruction and death are there for the world to see, the Israeli public
sees and thinks very little of it. Mainstream Israeli media focuses
exclusively on the massacres of October 7, and not at all on the ones
currently happening in our name. Instead, we keep hearing endless
competitions of genocidal rhetoric, with Israeli commentators and
politicians discussing “flattening” Gaza, nuking Gaza, ethnically cleansing Gaza, fighting “human animals,” and so on.
The more official line is that Israel
is “only” trying to topple Hamas. But we know from experience that
there is no military solution to the threat Israelis see in Hamas, and
that decades of Israeli attempts to pick and choose a “convenient”
Palestinian leadership have always failed. The only way to stop
Palestinians from rising up against their oppressors is for Israel to
stop that oppression and denial of their rights. It is justice,
security, and a decent future for all of us, or for none of us.
Palestinians mourn near bodies of those
killed in Israeli air strikes, outside Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City,
October 12, 2023. (Atia Mohammed/Flash90)
Expulsions in the West Bank, persecution inside Israel
The war being waged against Palestinians is not limited to Gaza. In the occupied West Bank, settlers, soldiers, and an increasing number of joint militias — where the two become indistinguishable — have significantly increased
their campaign of ethnic cleansing in Area C, the 60 percent of the
occupied territory where Israeli settlements are located and where the
army holds full control. At least 15 Palestinian communities
have been entirely uprooted over the past month, and several more are
experiencing greater threats with no one to defend them. Settlers and
government officials are working to expand the territory directly controlled by settlements, which would mean pushing out even more Palestinians living in those areas.
According to the UN, at least 155 Palestinians
have been killed by soldiers or settlers in the West Bank since October
7. Farmers are being prevented from picking their olives in the annual
season when they are ready to be harvested, and in some cases even have
to watch settlers steal their olives right in front of them. The Israeli
army has arrested over 1,000 Palestinians on allegations of connections
to Hamas, and thousands of Palestinian laborers from Gaza, who had permits to work in Israel or the West Bank, were put in internment camps under severe conditions before being deported back to Gaza late last week.
Inside Israel and occupied East Jerusalem, meanwhile, Palestinians are being persecuted
both by the authorities and by the broader Jewish public. Hundreds of
Palestinian citizens and some left-wing Jews have been arrested or
detained for long periods of time, suspended or fired
from their jobs, removed from the universities they attend as students
and faculty, and threatened with having their citizenship revoked. Many
of these actions were taken merely because of posts on social media,
even those that are entirely benign, including trilingual calls to stop
the war, verses from the Qur’an, or showing sympathy and grief over the
killing of children in Gaza.
In Jerusalem, Israeli police are stopping random Palestinians on the street to check their social media feeds
for “incitement.” The police also announced they will forbid all
protests calling for a ceasefire — a rule it has thus far enforced
almost exclusively against Palestinian citizens, and which has been upheld
by the High Court in response to a petition. “Anyone who wishes to
identify with Gaza is welcome to. I will put him on the buses that are
heading there now,” declared Israeli police chief Kobi Shabtai.
Palestinians protest against Israel in the occupied West Bank city of Ramallah, October 18, 2023. (Flash90)
In several Israeli cities, workplaces
employing Palestinian citizens have shut down entirely, or told those
workers not to show up for work, or placed special guards around the
work sites to “protect” the surrounding Jewish community. Violent
right-wing mobs attacked Arab students on two campuses and workers in
several businesses, as well as the home of the leftist ultra-Orthodox
Jewish journalist Israel Frey;
only four of the hundreds of assailants in these different incidents
have been detained. Meanwhile, the Kahanist National Security Minister
Itamar Ben Gvir has been giving out thousands of assault rifles to newly formed civilian security teams in dozens of cities and settlements, some of them manned by known right-wing extremists.
Altogether, this has created a sense
of unprecedented fear among Palestinian citizens of Israel, many of whom
are now talking about this period as “the new military regime,”
referring to the draconian system
imposed on them from 1948-1966. Many have deactivated or stopped using
their social media profiles, and many are simply avoiding going to work
or walking through Jewish-majority areas. This is in addition to some
Palestinian citizens who have also been among those killed in Hamas’
October 7 attack or in the rocket barrages from Gaza that have followed,
and while some are still held captive by Hamas in Gaza.
There are some truly inspiring
initiatives of Jewish and Palestinian citizens working together,
protecting each other, signing shared petitions, or volunteering
together for victims — but unfortunately these are small rays of light
in an otherwise dark storm.
A shattered left
As if everything happening around us
were not bad enough, we are also witnessing a painful moment for the
left in Israel-Palestine, leading many around us to feel even more
desperate and hopeless. As Noam Shuster wrote
on +972 recently, we are seeing the two national communities around us
retreat into their separate shells, with rapidly departing narratives of
the events of the past month, and declining faith in each other. This
is leaving those of us who are committed to shared spaces, shared
resistance, and a shared future grounded in equality very much alone. It
is, in many ways, a condensed microcosm of the rifts that have emerged
within the left globally over the past month as well.
Many Jewish Israelis who have
considered themselves to be on the local and global left, and who have
been staunch opponents of the occupation and supporters of human rights
and equality, were completely shocked by the ferocity of Hamas’ attack.
The targeting of so many civilians, many of whom were committed activists against the siege on Gaza and Israeli apartheid more broadly, has not been easy to swallow.
Israelis hold photographs of abducted and
missing family members during a protest outside the Knesset, Jerusalem,
November 6, 2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
The initial, understandable shock —
which I too share — has been intensified by a feeling of disappointment
at what they experienced as a lack of solidarity from Palestinian
leaders, friends, and colleagues in the face of this horror. Truly
worrying broader trends of either the denial or justification of the
massacres in certain Palestinian circles and in the global left, have
led some to start demanding that their friends denounce Hamas and
pronounce their commitment to the right of Jews to live on this land, as
proof of mutual solidarity and allyship.
At the same time, some of those
Israelis have been justifying the attack on Gaza. Many are acknowledging
that there is no military solution in the long run, and are stressing
that they wish no harm to Palestinian civilians, but are insisting that
“there is no choice but to topple that regime.” While some may still
reject settler attacks in the West Bank, they do not seem concerned with
the persecution of Palestinian citizens, which is being justified by
the same rationale against former friends and allies.
On the Palestinian side, many are
opting for complete silence, in great part out of fear that any
statement they make could and likely would be used against them. Any
show of grief for the massacres of October 7 is manipulated by Israelis
to justify the horrors it is bringing upon Gaza, and any sign of care
for Gazans is interpreted by much of the Jewish majority, including by
employers and the police, as treason and collusion with the enemy.
Of the Palestinians who are daring to
make public statements, some are trying to walk a fine line between
recognizing the right of an occupied people to resist with force but
centering on state or military targets, thus justifying the “first
phase” of the October 7 attack while rejecting the ensuing massacres of
civilians. Others are either looking for ways to deny that the massacres
took place — for example, by latching onto conspiracy theories about
the Israeli army having actually killed civilians while attempting to
rescue them or prevent their abduction (which may have happened in some
cases, but in far smaller numbers than is being implied) — or are
justifying it by saying that decolonization is “messy” and “ugly”
because it reverses the original brutal oppression it is fighting.
The scene where Israelis were killed by
Hamas militants on a main road near the southern Israeli city of Sderot,
October 7, 2023. (Jamal Awad/Flash90)
Palestinian citizens of Israel, for
their part, are also looking at some Jewish leaders, colleagues, and
friends on the left with a great deal of disappointment. From the
failure to stand beside the people of Gaza who are facing the war crimes
committed by our government, to the failure to speak up for those being
persecuted by an increasingly authoritarian regime, Palestinian
citizens feel abandoned and betrayed by many Jewish allies who, up until
a month ago, were vehemently protesting on the streets in the name of “democracy.”
These trends flourish in two
communities that are caught up in very real grief, fear, and anxiety,
both drawing on collective past traumas — the Holocaust and the Nakba —
whose memories are being revived by genocidal rhetoric from leaders in
Hamas and the Israeli government — and, in the Palestinian case, by
actual expulsions and the discussion of plans for even more
displacement. Needless to say, by each side retreating to the warmth and
protection of its national or ethnic group, they are also unwittingly
reaffirming the fears and disappointments of the other, creating a
destructive dynamic of escalating mistrust and despair.
Horizons ahead
We do not yet know how this war will
end. Israeli leaders are promising us a “very long” campaign that could
take “months” or “years.” However, with global public opinion shifting in the face of the carnage and humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza, and with the internal Israeli demand
for the release of the over 200 captives held by Hamas, mistrust toward
the government, and limited tolerance for the human and economic cost
of war, I believe we are more likely to see a ceasefire in a few weeks’
time.
It is also impossible to assess the
scope of the new age that will begin after this war. There is no telling
who will govern Gaza — Hamas, the Palestinian Authority, an
international force, or Israel itself. The magnitude of rehabilitation
efforts needed in Gaza is unimaginable. There will also be a need to
rebuild the Israeli communities destroyed or evacuated in the south and
the north.
A fire rages where a rocket fired from Gaza
into southern Israel landed in the city of Ashkelon, October 7, 2023.
(Yossi Zamir/Flash90)
I will leave important discussions about the Palestinian leadership and struggle, broader regional dynamics, and the role of foreign powers
for future analysis, which we will be publishing in the coming weeks
and months on +972. For now, I wish to focus on the issue of
Jewish-Israeli politics.
Two changes seem very clear to me at
this point: the end of the Netanyahu era, and the end of the dominance
of the “conflict management” discourse in Israeli society, giving way to
a renewed public discussion on the future of Jewish-Arab relations.
Netanyahu is finished. I know this
has been said many times before, and this leader has shown incredible
survival abilities, but with what has happened in the past month, we are
beyond that point. All polls since October 7 show that the vast
majority of Israelis, including a considerable majority within his Likud
party, believe he is to blame for Israel’s military defeat at the hands
of Hamas, and that he has to go. Some of his allies in the media and in
government are already turning on him, preparing for the day after.
This is one more reason that
Netanyahu is so dangerous right now, believing — rightly, as things
stand — that as long as the war goes on, no one will bother with the
politics of replacing a prime minister. He may still find that even
Israelis have a limit, and either before or after the war ends, in one
way or another, he will be ousted.
Much more importantly than Netanyahu himself, though, is the Netanyahu doctrine,
which has become the near-consensus of Jewish-Israeli politics. This
doctrine held that Israel has beaten the Palestinians, that they are no
longer a problem to contend with, that we can “manage” the conflict on a
“low flame,” and that we should focus our attention on other matters.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
attends a plenum session in the Israeli Knesset, October 16, 2023. (Noam
Revkin Fenton/Flash90)
Throughout his near-continuous rein
since 2009, this perception won the hearts and minds of Israelis, and
the question of “what to do with Palestinians” — which used to be the
main fault line of Israeli politics — has been removed from the agenda
almost entirely, contributing to the hubris that led the army to drop
its guard around Gaza. Last month, Hamas decimated that notion for years
and maybe decades to come.
In the next Israeli elections,
whenever they are held, we are likely to see a reorganizing of the
political map, potentially creating three distinct blocs. It is too
early to say how much traction each of these camps will have, but here
is what they could look like.
The first is of course the far right,
which has already been gaining traction since 2021, and which will try
to capitalize on recent events. Led by the likes of Itamar Ben Gvir and
Bezalel Smotrich, probably joined by some from Likud, this camp will say
that no matter how this war will end, it just wasn’t enough. Israel,
they’ll argue, needs a definitive solution based on large-scale ethnic
cleansing, because, in their eyes, the entire land belongs to us and
there is no room for the Palestinian people to stay here as a
collective.
A second approach, probably led by
Benny Gantz and Yair Lapid, will likely center on unilateral steps, such
as a “second disengagement” from the West Bank, pulling down
settlements east of the separation barrier, annexing the rest, and
fortifying the walls encaging Palestinians in both the West Bank and
Gaza with more concrete, more tech, and more soldiers than ever before.
Part of this approach may also include the “mowing the lawn” strategy —
essentially, periodically recurring military campaigns — to prevent
Palestinians from developing significant armed capabilities.
Defence Minister Yoav Gallant speaks with
Israeli soldiers at a staging area not far from the Gaza fence, October
19, 2023. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)
The third camp is likely to be a
reconfiguration of what used to be Labor, Meretz, and parts of Yesh
Atid, in which a key role may be played by the newfound hero of the
Zionist center-left: former Meretz MK and army general Yair Golan, who
spent October 7 as a volunteer one-man commando unit, going in and out
of fighting arenas with his gun and private car, rescuing survivors
under fire. This camp will likely propose a return to the two-state
separation paradigm, to be achieved through negotiations with the PLO.
It may also try to advance some discourse of coexistence within Israel,
promoting different forms of Arab-Jewish partnership in civilian life.
The latter two camps will be
emboldened by strong anti-settler sentiments that have been growing in
the Israeli public, especially since anti-government protesters rightly
began identifying the link
between the far right’s judicial overhaul and its ideological sources
in the religious Zionist movement in the occupied territories. The
rejection of settler pogroms, like the one in Huwara
last February, has only increased, with many Israelis seeing current
settler attacks in the West Bank as provoking a third front in the war.
Moreover, the knowledge that the
Israeli army had redeployed forces from the Gaza fence to guard
extremist settlers in remote West Bank outposts in recent months, which
may have paved the way for the success of Hamas’ military operation on
October 7, has strengthened hatred and resentment of these settlers.
That said, Israeli hatred toward Palestinians has skyrocketed far more,
and the remote possibility of a one-state or confederate solution being
accepted by Israelis has further shrunk.
Forward into the unknown
This is a grim and trying time for
those of us who are committed to opposing apartheid and promoting a
solution grounded in justice and equality for all. On the one hand,
achievements hard won over decades of shared struggle have been erased
by Hamas’ massacres, and will be hard to regain. Our movement is in
disarray, and despair abounds. Thousands of lives have been lost,
thousands more still may perish, and the collective traumas we carry are
intensifying by the day.
Pictures of Israelis abducted by Hamas in
Gaza are projected onto the walls of Jerusalem’s Old City, November 6,
2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
On the other hand, once the war is
over, there will have to be a reckoning within Israeli society, which
could open up new opportunities for us to seize. Much of what we have
been fighting for will become ever more relevant, with more people
locally and globally willing to recognize that the system we live under
is unjust, unsustainable, and offers none of us real security. We must
double down on our commitment to promoting a peaceful political process,
with the stated goal of ending the siege and the occupation,
recognizing the right of return of Palestinian refugees, and finding creative solutions to materialize that right.
But the new reality will require some
realignments. Alongside our commitment to the full realization of all
Palestinians’ rights, our progressive, anti-apartheid movement will have
to be explicit about the collective rights of Jews in this land, and to
ensure that their security is guaranteed in whatever solution is found.
We will have to contend with Hamas and its place in this new reality,
ensuring it can no longer commit such attacks on Israelis, just as we
insist on the security of Palestinians and their protection from Israeli
military and settler aggression. Without this, it will be impossible to
move forward.
Until then, there are two extremely
urgent calls upon which to center our efforts right now: freeing
civilian hostages, and an immediate ceasefire. Now.