What China's Xi gained from his Biden meeting
Chinese
President Xi Jinping waves as he walks with U.S. President Joe Biden at
Filoli estate on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
(APEC) summit, in Woodside, California, U.S., November 15, 2023.
REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights
SAN
FRANCISCO/HONG KONG, Nov 16 (Reuters) - When Chinese President Xi
Jinping met executives for dinner on Wednesday night in San Francisco,
he was greeted with not one, but three standing ovations from the U.S.
business community.
It
was one of several public relations wins for the Chinese leader on his
first trip in six years to the United States, where he and President Joe
Biden reached agreements
covering fentanyl, military communications and artificial intelligence
on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.
All
three were outcomes the United States had sought from China rather than
the other way around, said two people briefed on the trip.
But
Xi appeared to have achieved his own aims: earning U.S. policy
concessions in exchange for promises of cooperation, an easing of
bilateral tensions that will allow more focus on economic growth, and a
chance to woo foreign investors who increasingly shun China.
"We
invite friends from business communities across the world to invest and
deepen your footprint in China," he said at an APEC CEO summit,
promising action on the list of items that irk foreign investors, from
intellectual property theft to data security.
China's economy is slowing and earlier this month it reported its first quarterly deficit in foreign direct investment.
And the ruling Communist Party has battled political intrigues that
have raised questions about Xi's decision-making, including the sudden
and unexplained removals of his foreign minister and defense minister.
"If
the U.S. and China can manage their differences ... it will mean that
Xi Jinping doesn't have to divert all of his attention to that
(bilateral relations)," said Alexander Neill, an adjunct fellow at
Hawaii's Pacific Forum think-tank.
"He needs to focus on his domestic agenda, which is incredibly pressing."
DROPPING SANCTIONS FOR COOPERATION
Securing
Xi's promise of Chinese cooperation on stemming the flow of fentanyl to
the United States was high on Biden's to-do list for the summit. A
senior U.S. official said the agreement under which China would go after
specific companies that produce fentanyl precursors was made on a
"trust but verify" basis.
In return, the U.S. government on Thursday removed
a Chinese public security forensic institute from a Commerce Department
trade sanction list, where it was placed in 2020 over alleged abuses
against Uyghurs, a long-sought diplomatic aim for China.
Critics
warned removing sanctions against the institute signals to Beijing that
U.S. entity listings are negotiable, and have questioned the Biden
administration's commitment to pressuring China over what it says is the
Chinese government's genocide of Uyghurs.
"This
undermines the credibility of our entity list and our moral authority,"
said a spokesperson for the Republican-led House of Representative's
select committee on China.
On
top of that, Biden's Republican opponents argue the U.S. is missing an
opportunity by not leveraging China's flagging economic momentum for
more diplomatic gains.
Biden
also touted as a success an agreement to resume military dialogues cut
by China following then-U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's 2022 trip to
Chinese-claimed Taiwan.
But
while Beijing would welcome lower tensions, this is unlikely to change
Chinese military behavior the U.S. sees as dangerous, such as intercepts
of U.S. ships and aircraft in international waters that have led to a
number of near-misses.
"China
fears hotlines could be used as a potential pretext for a U.S. presence
in areas it claims as its own," said Craig Singleton, a China expert at
the Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washington.
Biden
administration officials have acknowledged that creating functional
military relations won't be as easy as semi-regular meetings between
defense officials.
"This
is a long, hard, slow slog and the Chinese have to see value in that
mil-mil before they'll do it. That's not going to be a favor to us," one
senior Biden administration told Reuters in October in the run-up to
the Xi-Biden meeting.
PARTNER AND FRIEND?
In
his public remarks to Biden, Xi suggested China sought peaceful
coexistence with the United States, and he told business leaders China
was ready to be a "partner and friend" to the U.S., words partially
aimed at a business community alarmed by China's crackdown on various
industries and the use of exit bans and detentions against some
executives.
Similarly,
Xi's televised garden walk with Biden, and the largely respectful
reception given to Xi by his American hosts, was highlighted in China's
tightly controlled media to show a domestic audience that their
president is managing the country's most important economic and
political relationship.
"Xi
Jinping may have made the calculation that overhyping the American
threat does China and his standing in the party and the party itself
more harm than good," said Drew Thompson, a former Pentagon official who
is now a scholar at the National University of Singapore.
"The fact that we are debating whether China is investible is a real problem for China."
At
the same time, Xi reiterated to Biden points that he made earlier this
year to Russian President Vladimir Putin, urging the U.S. president to
view U.S.-China relations through "accelerating global transformations
unseen in a century."
Analysts say that is code for the belief that China - and Russia - are remolding the U.S.-led international system.
Still, this time pragmatism may have outweighed ideology.
China
recognizes it's still necessary for its economic progress to have
somewhat normal relations with the U.S. and Western countries, said Li
Mingjiang, a professor at the Rajaratnam School of International Studies
in Singapore.
"It's the fundamental driving force behind the meeting."
Reporting
by Michael Martina and Greg Torode; Additional reporting by Antoni
Slodkowski and Laurie Chen in Beijing; Editing by Don Durfee and Tom
Hogue