The bombing of power targets,
according to intelligence sources who had first-hand experience with its
application in Gaza in the past, is mainly intended to harm Palestinian
civil society: to “create a shock” that, among other things, will
reverberate powerfully and “lead civilians to put pressure on Hamas,” as
one source put it.
Several of the sources, who spoke to
+972 and Local Call on the condition of anonymity, confirmed that the
Israeli army has files on the vast majority of potential targets in Gaza
— including homes — which stipulate the number of civilians who are
likely to be killed in an attack on a particular target. This number is
calculated and known in advance to the army’s intelligence units, who
also know shortly before carrying out an attack roughly how many
civilians are certain to be killed.
Palestinians react to the devastation
caused by an Israeli airstrike in Rafah, southern Gaza Strip, November
11, 2023. (Abed Rahim Khatib/Flash90)
In one case discussed by the sources,
the Israeli military command knowingly approved the killing of hundreds
of Palestinian civilians in an attempt to assassinate a single top
Hamas military commander. “The numbers increased from dozens of civilian
deaths [permitted] as collateral damage as part of an attack on a
senior official in previous operations, to hundreds of civilian deaths
as collateral damage,” said one source.
“Nothing happens by accident,” said
another source. “When a 3-year-old girl is killed in a home in Gaza,
it’s because someone in the army decided it wasn’t a big deal for her to
be killed — that it was a price worth paying in order to hit [another]
target. We are not Hamas. These are not random rockets. Everything is
intentional. We know exactly how much collateral damage there is in
every home.”
According to the investigation,
another reason for the large number of targets, and the extensive harm
to civilian life in Gaza, is the widespread use of a system called
“Habsora” (“The Gospel”), which is largely built on artificial
intelligence and can “generate” targets almost automatically at a rate
that far exceeds what was previously possible. This AI system, as
described by a former intelligence officer, essentially facilitates a “mass assassination factory.”
According to the sources, the
increasing use of AI-based systems like Habsora allows the army to carry
out strikes on residential homes where a single Hamas member lives on a
massive scale, even those who are junior Hamas operatives. Yet
testimonies of Palestinians in Gaza suggest that since October 7, the
army has also attacked many private residences where there was no known
or apparent member of Hamas or any other militant group residing. Such
strikes, sources confirmed to +972 and Local Call, can knowingly kill
entire families in the process.
In the majority of cases, the sources
added, military activity is not conducted from these targeted homes. “I
remember thinking that it was like if [Palestinian militants] would
bomb all the private residences of our families when [Israeli soldiers]
go back to sleep at home on the weekend,” one source, who was critical
of this practice, recalled.
Palestinians at the rubble of a building
destroyed by Israeli airstrikes in Rafah, southern Gaza Strip, November
11, 2023. (Abed Rahim Khatib/Flash90)
Another source said that a senior
intelligence officer told his officers after October 7 that the goal was
to “kill as many Hamas operatives as possible,” for which the criteria
around harming Palestinian civilians were significantly relaxed. As
such, there are “cases in which we shell based on a wide cellular
pinpointing of where the target is, killing civilians. This is often
done to save time, instead of doing a little more work to get a more
accurate pinpointing,” said the source.
The result of these policies is the
staggering loss of human life in Gaza since October 7. Over 300 families
have lost 10 or more family members in Israeli bombings in the past two
months — a number that is 15 times higher than the figure from what was
previously Israel’s deadliest war on Gaza, in 2014. At the time of
writing, around 15,000 Palestinians have been reported killed in the war, and counting.
“All of this is happening contrary to
the protocol used by the IDF in the past,” a source explained. “There
is a feeling that senior officials in the army are aware of their
failure on October 7, and are busy with the question of how to provide
the Israeli public with an image [of victory] that will salvage their
reputation.”
‘An excuse to cause destruction’
Israel launched its assault on Gaza in the aftermath of the October 7
Hamas-led offensive on southern Israel. During that attack, under a
hail of rocket fire, Palestinian militants massacred more than 840
civilians and killed 350 soldiers and security personnel, kidnapped
around 240 people — civilians and soldiers — to Gaza, and committed
widespread sexual violence, including rape, according to a report by the NGO Physicians for Human Rights Israel.
From the first moment after the
October 7 attack, decisionmakers in Israel openly declared that the
response would be of a completely different magnitude to previous
military operations in Gaza, with the stated aim of totally eradicating
Hamas. “The emphasis is on damage and not on accuracy,” said IDF Spokesperson Daniel Hagari on Oct. 9. The army swiftly translated those declarations into actions.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and Minister without Portfolio Benny
Gantz hold a joint press conference at the Defense Ministry, Tel Aviv,
November 11, 2023. (Marc Israel Sellem/POOL)
According to the sources who spoke to
+972 and Local Call, the targets in Gaza that have been struck by
Israeli aircraft can be divided roughly into four categories. The first
is “tactical targets,” which include standard military targets such as
armed militant cells, weapon warehouses, rocket launchers, anti-tank
missile launchers, launch pits, mortar bombs, military headquarters,
observation posts, and so on.
The second is “underground targets” —
mainly tunnels that Hamas has dug under Gaza’s neighborhoods, including
under civilian homes. Aerial strikes on these targets could lead to the
collapse of the homes above or near the tunnels.
The third is “power targets,” which
includes high-rises and residential towers in the heart of cities, and
public buildings such as universities, banks, and government offices.
The idea behind hitting such targets, say three intelligence sources who
were involved in planning or conducting strikes on power targets in the
past, is that a deliberate attack on Palestinian society will exert
“civil pressure” on Hamas.
The final category consists of
“family homes” or “operatives’ homes.” The stated purpose of these
attacks is to destroy private residences in order to assassinate a
single resident suspected of being a Hamas or Islamic Jihad operative.
However, in the current war, Palestinian testimonies assert that some of
the families that were killed did not include any operatives from these
organizations.
In the early stages of the current
war, the Israeli army appears to have given particular attention to the
third and fourth categories of targets. According to statements
on Oct. 11 by the IDF Spokesperson, during the first five days of
fighting, half of the targets bombed — 1,329 out of a total 2,687 — were
deemed power targets.
Palestinians walk next to the rubble of
buildings destroyed by Israeli airstrikes in Khan Younis, southern Gaza
Strip, November 28, 2023. (Atia Mohammed/Flash90)
“We are asked to look for high-rise
buildings with half a floor that can be attributed to Hamas,” said one
source who took part in previous Israeli offensives in Gaza. “Sometimes
it is a militant group’s spokesperson’s office, or a point where
operatives meet. I understood that the floor is an excuse that allows
the army to cause a lot of destruction in Gaza. That is what they told
us.
“If they would tell the whole world
that the [Islamic Jihad] offices on the 10th floor are not important as a
target, but that its existence is a justification to bring down the
entire high-rise with the aim of pressuring civilian families who live
in it in order to put pressure on terrorist organizations, this would
itself be seen as terrorism. So they do not say it,” the source added.
Various sources who served in IDF
intelligence units said that at least until the current war, army
protocols allowed for attacking power targets only when the buildings
were empty of residents at the time of the strike. However, testimonies
and videos from Gaza suggest that since October 7, some of these targets
have been attacked without prior notice being given to their occupants,
killing entire families as a result.
The wide-scale targeting of
residential homes can be derived from public and official data.
According to the Government Media Office in Gaza — which has been
providing death tolls since the Gaza Health Ministry stopped doing so on
Nov. 11 due to the collapse of health services in the Strip — by the time the temporary ceasefire took hold on Nov. 23, Israel had killed
14,800 Palestinians in Gaza; approximately 6,000 of them were children
and 4,000 were women, who together constitute more than 67 percent of
the total. The figures provided by the Health Ministry and the
Government Media Office — both of which fall under the auspices of the
Hamas government — do not deviate significantly from Israeli estimates.
The Gaza Health Ministry,
furthermore, does not specify how many of the dead belonged to the
military wings of Hamas or Islamic Jihad. The Israeli army estimates
that it has killed between 1,000 and 3,000
armed Palestinian militants. According to media reports in Israel, some
of the dead militants are buried under the rubble or inside Hamas’
underground tunnel system, and therefore were not tallied in official
counts.
Palestinians try to put out a fire after an
Israeli airstrike on a house in the Shaboura refugee camp in the city
of Rafah, southern of the Gaza Strip, on November 17, 2023. (Abed Rahim
Khatib/Flash90)
UN data
for the period up until Nov. 11, by which time Israel had killed 11,078
Palestinians in Gaza, states that at least 312 families have lost 10 or
more people in the current Israeli attack; for the sake of comparison,
during “Operation Protective Edge” in 2014, 20 families in Gaza lost 10
or more people. At least 189 families have lost between six and nine
people according to the UN data, while 549 families have lost between
two and five people. No updated breakdowns have yet been given for the
casualty figures published since Nov. 11.
The massive attacks on power targets and private residences came at the same time as the Israeli army, on Oct. 13, called
on the 1.1 million residents of the northern Gaza Strip — most of them
residing in Gaza City — to leave their homes and move to the south of
the Strip. By that date, a record number of power targets had already
been bombed, and more than 1,000 Palestinians had already been killed, including hundreds of children.
In total, according to the UN, 1.7
million Palestinians, the vast majority of the Strip’s population, have
been displaced within Gaza since October 7. The army claimed that the
demand to evacuate the Strip’s north was intended to protect civilian
lives. Palestinians, however, see this mass displacement as part of a
“new Nakba” — an attempt to ethnically cleanse part or all of the
territory.
‘They knocked down a high-rise for the sake of it’
According to the Israeli army, during the first five days of fighting it dropped 6,000 bombs on the Strip, with a total weight of about 4,000 tons. Media outlets reported that the army had wiped out entire neighborhoods; according to the Gaza-based Al Mezan Center for Human Rights, these attacks
led to “the complete destruction of residential neighborhoods, the
destruction of infrastructure, and the mass killing of residents.”
As documented by Al Mezan and
numerous images coming out of Gaza, Israel bombed the Islamic University
of Gaza, the Palestinian Bar Association, a UN building
for an educational program for outstanding students, a building
belonging to the Palestine Telecommunications Company, the Ministry of
National Economy, the Ministry of Culture, roads, and dozens of
high-rise buildings and homes — especially in Gaza’s northern
neighborhoods.
The ruins of Al-Amin Muhammad Mosque which
was destroyed in an Israeli airstrike on October 20, Khan Younis refugee
camp, southern Gaza Strip, October 31, 2023. (Mohammed
Zaanoun/Activestills)
On the fifth day of fighting, the IDF Spokesperson distributed to military reporters in Israel “before and after” satellite images
of neighborhoods in the northern Strip, such as Shuja’iyya and
Al-Furqan (nicknamed after a mosque in the area) in Gaza City, which
showed dozens of destroyed homes and buildings. The Israeli army said
that it had struck 182 power targets in Shuja’iyya and 312 power targets
in Al-Furqan.
The Chief of Staff of the Israeli Air Force, Omer Tishler, told
military reporters that all of these attacks had a legitimate military
target, but also that entire neighborhoods were attacked “on a large
scale and not in a surgical manner.” Noting that half of the military
targets up until Oct. 11 were power targets, the IDF Spokesperson said
that “neighborhoods that serve as terror nests for Hamas” were attacked
and that damage was caused to “operational headquarters,” “operational
assets,” and “assets used by terrorist organizations inside residential
buildings.” On Oct. 12, the Israeli army announced it had killed three “senior Hamas members” — two of whom were part of the group’s political wing.
Yet despite the unbridled Israeli
bombardment, the damage to Hamas’ military infrastructure in northern
Gaza during the first days of the war appears to have been very minimal.
Indeed, intelligence sources told +972 and Local Call that military
targets that were part of power targets have previously been used many
times as a fig leaf for harming the civilian population. “Hamas is
everywhere in Gaza; there is no building that does not have something of
Hamas in it, so if you want to find a way to turn a high-rise into a
target, you will be able to do so,” said one former intelligence
official.
“They will never just hit a high-rise
that does not have something we can define as a military target,” said
another intelligence source, who carried out previous strikes against
power targets. “There will always be a floor in the high-rise
[associated with Hamas]. But for the most part, when it comes to power
targets, it is clear that the target doesn’t have military value that
justifies an attack that would bring down the entire empty building in
the middle of a city, with the help of six planes and bombs weighing
several tons.”
Indeed, according to sources who were
involved in the compiling of power targets in previous wars, although
the target file usually contains some kind of alleged association with
Hamas or other militant groups, striking the target functions primarily
as a “means that allows damage to civil society.” The sources
understood, some explicitly and some implicitly, that damage to
civilians is the real purpose of these attacks.
Palestinians survivors are brought out of
the rubble of houses destroyed in an Israeli airstrike in the city of
Rafah, southern Gaza Strip, November 20, 2023. (Abed Rahim
Khatib/Flash90)
In May 2021, for example, Israel was heavily criticized for bombing the Al-Jalaa Tower, which housed
prominent international media outlets such as Al Jazeera, AP, and AFP.
The army claimed that the building was a Hamas military target; sources
have told +972 and Local Call that it was in fact a power target.
“The perception is that it really
hurts Hamas when high-rise buildings are taken down, because it creates a
public reaction in the Gaza Strip and scares the population,” said one
of the sources. “They wanted to give the citizens of Gaza the feeling
that Hamas is not in control of the situation. Sometimes they toppled
buildings and sometimes postal service and government buildings.”
Although it is unprecedented for the
Israeli army to attack more than 1,000 power targets in five days, the
idea of causing mass devastation to civilian areas for strategic
purposes was formulated in previous military operations in Gaza, honed
by the so-called “Dahiya Doctrine” from the Second Lebanon War of 2006.
According to the doctrine — developed
by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot, who is now a Knesset member
and part of the current war cabinet — in a war against guerrilla groups
such as Hamas or Hezbollah, Israel must use disproportionate and
overwhelming force while targeting civilian and government
infrastructure in order to establish deterrence and force the civilian
population to pressure the groups to end their attacks. The concept of
“power targets” seems to have emanated from this same logic.
The first time the Israeli army
publicly defined power targets in Gaza was at the end of Operation
Protective Edge in 2014. The army bombed four buildings
during the last four days of the war — three residential multi-story
buildings in Gaza City, and a high-rise in Rafah. The security
establishment explained
at the time that the attacks were intended to convey to the
Palestinians of Gaza that “nothing is immune anymore,” and to put
pressure on Hamas to agree to a ceasefire. “The evidence we collected
shows that the massive destruction [of the buildings] was carried out
deliberately, and without any military justification,” stated an Amnesty
report in late 2014.
Smoke rises after an Israeli airstrike hits
Al-Jalaa tower, which houses apartments and several media outlets
including the Associated Press and Al Jazeera, Gaza City, May 15, 2021.
(Atia Mohammed/Flash90)
In another violent escalation that
began in November 2018, the army once again attacked power targets. That
time, Israel bombed high-rises, shopping centers, and the building of
the Hamas-affiliated Al-Aqsa TV station. “Attacking power targets
produces a very significant effect on the other side,” one Air Force
officer stated at the time. “We did it without killing anyone and we made sure that the building and its surroundings were evacuated.”
Previous operations have also shown
how striking these targets is meant not only to harm Palestinian morale,
but also to raise the morale inside Israel. Haaretz revealed that
during Operation Guardian of the Walls in 2021, the IDF Spokesperson’s
Unit conducted a psy-op against Israeli citizens
in order to boost awareness of the IDF’s operations in Gaza and the
damage they caused to Palestinians. Soldiers, who used fake social media
accounts to conceal the campaign’s origin, uploaded images and clips of
the army’s strikes in Gaza to Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, and TikTok
in order to demonstrate the army’s prowess to the Israeli public.
During the 2021 assault, Israel
struck nine targets that were defined as power targets — all of them
high-rise buildings. “The goal was to collapse the high-rises in order
to put pressure on Hamas, and also so that the [Israeli] public would
see a victory image,” one security source told +972 and Local Call.
However, the source continued, “it
didn’t work. As someone who has followed Hamas, I heard firsthand how
much they did not care about the civilians and the buildings that were
taken down. Sometimes the army found something in a high-rise building
that was related to Hamas, but it was also possible to hit that specific
target with more accurate weaponry. The bottom line is that they
knocked down a high-rise for the sake of knocking down a high-rise.”
‘Everyone was looking for their children in these piles’
Not only has the current war seen
Israel attack an unprecedented number of power targets, it has also seen
the army abandon prior policies that aimed at avoiding harm to
civilians. Whereas previously the army’s official procedure was that it
was possible to attack power targets only after all civilians had been
evacuated from them, testimonies from Palestinian residents in Gaza
indicate that, since October 7, Israel has attacked high-rises with
their residents still inside, or without having taken significant steps
to evacuate them, leading to many civilian deaths.
Palestinians at the rubble of a destroyed
building after an Israeli airstrike in the central Gaza Strip, November
5, 2023. (Atia Mohammed/Flash90)
Such attacks very often result in the killing of entire families, as experienced in previous offensives; according to an investigation
by AP conducted after the 2014 war, about 89 percent of those killed in
the aerial bombings of family homes were unarmed residents, and most of
them were children and women.
Tishler, the air force chief of
staff, confirmed a shift in policy, telling reporters that the army’s
“roof knocking” policy — whereby it would fire a small initial strike on
the roof of a building to warn residents that it is about to be struck —
is no longer in use “where there is an enemy.” Roof knocking, Tishler
said, is “a term that is relevant to rounds [of fighting] and not to
war.”
The sources who have previously
worked on power targets said that the brazen strategy of the current war
could be a dangerous development, explaining that attacking power
targets was originally intended to “shock” Gaza but not necessarily to
kill large numbers of civilians. “The targets were designed with the
assumption that high-rises would be evacuated of people, so when we were
working on [compiling the targets], there was no concern whatsoever
regarding how many civilians would be harmed; the assumption was that
the number would always be zero,” said one source with deep knowledge of
the tactic.
“This would mean there would be a
total evacuation [of the targeted buildings], which takes two to three
hours, during which the residents are called [by phone to evacuate],
warning missiles are fired, and we also crosscheck with drone footage
that people are indeed leaving the high-rise,” the source added.
However, evidence from Gaza suggests
that some high-rises — which we assume to have been power targets — were
toppled without prior warning. +972 and Local Call located at least two
cases during the current war in which entire residential high-rises
were bombed and collapsed without warning, and one case in which,
according to the evidence, a high-rise building collapsed on civilians
who were inside.
Devastation is seen in the area of Al-Rimal
at the heart of Gaza City after Israeli bombing, October 23, 2023.
(Mohammed Zaanoun/Activestills)
On Oct. 10, Israel bombed the Babel Building in Gaza, according to the testimony
of Bilal Abu Hatzira, who rescued bodies from the ruins that night. Ten
people were killed in the attack on the building, including three
journalists.
On Oct. 25, the 12-story Al-Taj
residential building in Gaza City was bombed to the ground, killing the
families living inside it without warning. About 120 people were buried
under the ruins of their apartments, according to the testimonies of
residents. Yousef Amar Sharaf, a resident of Al-Taj, wrote on X
that 37 of his family members who lived in the building were killed in
the attack: “My dear father and mother, my beloved wife, my sons, and
most of my brothers and their families.” Residents stated that a lot of
bombs were dropped, damaging and destroying apartments in nearby
buildings too.
Six days later, on Oct. 31, the eight-story Al-Mohandseen residential building was bombed
without warning. Between 30 and 45 bodies were reportedly recovered
from the ruins on the first day. One baby was found alive, without his
parents. Journalists estimated that over 150 people were killed in the attack, as many remained buried under the rubble.
The building used to stand in
Nuseirat Refugee Camp, south of Wadi Gaza — in the supposed “safe zone”
to which Israel directed the Palestinians who fled their homes in
northern and central Gaza — and therefore served as temporary shelter
for the displaced, according to testimonies.
According to an investigation
by Amnesty International, on Oct. 9, Israel shelled at least three
multi-story buildings, as well as an open flea market on a crowded
street in the Jabaliya Refugee Camp, killing at least 69 people. “The
bodies were burned … I didn’t want to look, I was scared of looking at
Imad’s face,” said the father of a child who was killed. “The bodies
were scattered on the floor. Everyone was looking for their children in
these piles. I recognized my son only by his trousers. I wanted to bury
him immediately, so I carried my son and got him out.”
An Israeli tank is seen inside Al-Shati refugee camp, northern Gaza Strip, November 16, 2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
According to Amnesty’s investigation,
the army said that the attack on the market area was aimed at a mosque
“where there were Hamas operatives.” However, according to the same
investigation, satellite images do not show a mosque in the vicinity.
The IDF Spokesperson did not address
+972’s and Local Call’s queries about specific attacks, but stated more
generally that “the IDF provided warnings before attacks in various
ways, and when the circumstances allowed it, also delivered individual
warnings through phone calls to people who were at or near the targets
(there were more from 25,000 live conversations during the war,
alongside millions of recorded conversations, text messages and leaflets
dropped from the air for the purpose of warning the population). In
general, the IDF works to reduce harm to civilians as part of the
attacks as much as possible, despite the challenge of fighting a
terrorist organization that uses the citizens of Gaza as human shields.”
‘The machine produced 100 targets in one day’
According to the IDF Spokesperson, by
Nov. 10, during the first 35 days of fighting, Israel attacked a total
of 15,000 targets in Gaza. Based on multiple sources, this is a very
high figure compared to the four previous major operations in the Strip.
During Guardian of the Walls in 2021, Israel attacked 1,500 targets in
11 days. In Protective Edge in 2014, which lasted 51 days, Israel struck
between 5,266 and 6,231 targets. During Pillar of Defense in 2012,
about 1,500 targets were attacked over eight days. In Cast Lead” in
2008, Israel struck 3,400 targets in 22 days.
Intelligence sources who served in
the previous operations also told +972 and Local Call that, for 10 days
in 2021 and three weeks in 2014, an attack rate of 100 to 200 targets
per day led to a situation in which the Israeli Air Force had no targets
of military value left. Why, then, after nearly two months, has the
Israeli army not yet run out of targets in the current war?
The answer may lie in a statement
from the IDF Spokesperson on Nov. 2, according to which it is using the
AI system Habsora (“The Gospel”), which the spokesperson says “enables
the use of automatic tools to produce targets at a fast pace, and works
by improving accurate and high-quality intelligence material according
to [operational] needs.”
Israeli artillery stationed near the Gaza fence, southern Israel, November 2, 2023. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)
In the statement, a senior
intelligence official is quoted as saying that thanks to Habsora,
targets are created for precision strikes “while causing great damage to
the enemy and minimal damage to non-combatants. Hamas operatives are
not immune — no matter where they hide.”
According to intelligence sources,
Habsora generates, among other things, automatic recommendations for
attacking private residences where people suspected of being Hamas or
Islamic Jihad operatives live. Israel then carries out large-scale
assassination operations through the heavy shelling of these residential
homes.
Habsora, explained one of the
sources, processes enormous amounts of data that “tens of thousands of
intelligence officers could not process,” and recommends bombing sites
in real time. Because most senior Hamas officials head into underground
tunnels with the start of any military operation, the sources say, the
use of a system like Habsora makes it possible to locate and attack the
homes of relatively junior operatives.
One former intelligence officer
explained that the Habsora system enables the army to run a “mass
assassination factory,” in which the “emphasis is on quantity and not on
quality.” A human eye “will go over the targets before each attack, but
it need not spend a lot of time on them.” Since Israel estimates that
there are approximately 30,000 Hamas members in Gaza, and they are all
marked for death, the number of potential targets is enormous.
In 2019, the Israeli army created a
new center aimed at using AI to accelerate target generation. “The
Targets Administrative Division is a unit that includes hundreds of
officers and soldiers, and is based on AI capabilities,” said former IDF
Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi in an in-depth interview with Ynet earlier this year.
Palestinians search for the wounded after
an Israeli airstrike on a house in the Shaboura refugee camp in the city
of Rafah, southern Gaza Strip, November 17, 2023. (Abed Rahim
Khatib/Flash90)
“This is a machine that, with the
help of AI, processes a lot of data better and faster than any human,
and translates it into targets for attack,” Kochavi went on. “The result
was that in Operation Guardian of the Walls [in 2021], from the moment
this machine was activated, it generated 100 new targets every day. You
see, in the past there were times in Gaza when we would create 50
targets per year. And here the machine produced 100 targets in one day.”
“We prepare the targets automatically
and work according to a checklist,” one of the sources who worked in
the new Targets Administrative Division told +972 and Local Call. “It
really is like a factory. We work quickly and there is no time to delve
deep into the target. The view is that we are judged according to how
many targets we manage to generate.”
A senior military official in charge of the target bank told
the Jerusalem Post earlier this year that, thanks to the army’s AI
systems, for the first time the military can generate new targets at a
faster rate than it attacks. Another source said the drive to
automatically generate large numbers of targets is a realization of the
Dahiya Doctrine.
Automated systems like Habsora have
thus greatly facilitated the work of Israeli intelligence officers in
making decisions during military operations, including calculating
potential casualties. Five different sources confirmed that the number
of civilians who may be killed in attacks on private residences is known
in advance to Israeli intelligence, and appears clearly in the target
file under the category of “collateral damage.”
According to these sources, there are
degrees of collateral damage, according to which the army determines
whether it is possible to attack a target inside a private residence.
“When the general directive becomes ‘Collateral Damage 5,’ that means we
are authorized to strike all targets that will kill five or less
civilians — we can act on all target files that are five or less,” said
one of the sources.
Palestinians gather around the remains of a
tower building housing offices which witnesses said was destroyed by an
Israeli air strike in Gaza City, August 26, 2014. (Emad Nassar/Flash90)
“In the past, we did not regularly
mark the homes of junior Hamas members for bombing,” said a security
official who participated in attacking targets during previous
operations. “In my time, if the house I was working on was marked
Collateral Damage 5, it would not always be approved [for attack].” Such
approval, he said, would only be received if a senior Hamas commander
was known to be living in the home.
“To my understanding, today they can
mark all the houses of [any Hamas military operative regardless of
rank],” the source continued. “That is a lot of houses. Hamas members
who don’t really matter for anything live in homes across Gaza. So they
mark the home and bomb the house and kill everyone there.”
A concerted policy to bomb family homes
On Oct. 22, the Israeli Air Force
bombed the home of the Palestinian journalist Ahmed Alnaouq in the city
of Deir al-Balah. Ahmed is a close friend and colleague of mine; four
years ago, we founded a Hebrew Facebook page called “Across the Wall,” with the aim of bringing Palestinian voices from Gaza to the Israeli public.
The strike on Oct. 22 collapsed
blocks of concrete onto Ahmed’s entire family, killing his father,
brothers, sisters, and all of their children, including babies. Only his
12-year-old niece, Malak, survived and remained in a critical
condition, her body covered in burns. A few days later, Malak died.
Twenty-one members of Ahmed’s family
were killed in total, buried under their home. None of them were
militants. The youngest was 2 years old; the oldest, his father, was 75.
Ahmed, who is currently living in the UK, is now alone out of his
entire family.
Al-Nasser Hospital in Khan Younis overflows
with the bodies of Palestinians killed and wounded overnight in Israeli
airstrikes, Gaza Strip, October 25, 2023. (Mohammed
Zaanoun/Activestills)
Ahmed’s family WhatsApp group is
titled “Better Together.” The last message that appears there was sent
by him, a little after midnight on the night he lost his family.
“Someone let me know that everything is fine,” he wrote. No one
answered. He fell asleep, but woke up in a panic at 4 a.m. Drenched in
sweat, he checked his phone again. Silence. Then he received a message
from a friend with the terrible news.
Ahmed’s case is common in Gaza these
days. In interviews to the press, heads of Gaza hospitals have been
echoing the same description: families enter hospitals as a succession
of corpses, a child followed by his father followed by his grandfather.
The bodies are all covered in dirt and blood.
According to former Israeli
intelligence officers, in many cases in which a private residence is
bombed, the goal is the “assassination of Hamas or Jihad operatives,”
and such targets are attacked when the operative enters the home.
Intelligence researchers know if the operative’s family members or
neighbors may also die in an attack, and they know how to calculate how
many of them may die. Each of the sources said that these are private
homes, where in the majority of cases, no military activity is carried
out.
+972 and Local Call do not have data
regarding the number of military operatives who were indeed killed or
wounded by aerial strikes on private residences in the current war, but
there is ample evidence that, in many cases, none were military or
political operatives belonging to Hamas or Islamic Jihad.
On Oct. 10, the Israeli Air Force
bombed an apartment building in Gaza’s Sheikh Radwan neighborhood,
killing 40 people, most of them women and children. In one of the
shocking videos
taken following the attack, people are seen screaming, holding what
appears to be a doll pulled from the ruins of the house, and passing it
from hand to hand. When the camera zooms in, one can see that it is not a
doll, but the body of a baby.
Palestinian rescue services remove the
bodies of members of the Shaaban family, all six of whom were killed in
an Israeli airstrike on the Sheikh Radwan neighborhood, western Gaza,
October 9, 2023. (Mohammed Zaanoun)
One of the residents said that 19
members of his family were killed in the strike. Another survivor wrote
on Facebook that he only found his son’s shoulder in the rubble. Amnesty
investigated
the attack and discovered that a Hamas member lived on one of the upper
floors of the building, but was not present at the time of the attack.
The bombing of family homes where
Hamas or Islamic Jihad operatives supposedly live likely became a more
concerted IDF policy during Operation Protective Edge in 2014. Back
then, 606 Palestinians — about a quarter of the civilian deaths during the 51 days of fighting — were members of families whose homes were bombed. A UN report defined it in 2015 as both a potential war crime and “a new pattern” of action that “led to the death of entire families.”
In 2014, 93 babies were killed as a result of Israeli bombings of family homes, of which 13 were under 1 year old. A month ago, 286 babies aged 1 or under were already identified as having been killed in Gaza, according to a detailed ID list with the ages of victims published by the Gaza Health Ministry on Oct. 26. The number has since likely doubled or tripled.
However, in many cases, and especially during the current attacks
on Gaza, the Israeli army has carried out attacks that struck private
residences even when there is no known or clear military target. For
example, according to the Committee to Protect Journalists, by Nov. 29,
Israel had killed 50 Palestinian journalists in Gaza, some of them in
their homes with their families.
Roshdi Sarraj, 31, a journalist from
Gaza who was born in Britain, founded a media outlet in Gaza called “Ain
Media.” On Oct. 22, an Israeli bomb struck his parents’ home where he
was sleeping, killing him.
The journalist Salam Mema similarly died under the ruins of her home
after it was bombed; of her three young children, Hadi, 7, died, while
Sham, 3, has not yet been found under the rubble. Two other journalists,
Duaa Sharaf and Salma Makhaimer, were killed together with their children in their homes.
An Israeli warplane is seen flying above the Gaza Strip, November 13, 2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
Israeli analysts have admitted that
the military effectiveness of these kinds of disproportionate aerial
attacks is limited. Two weeks after the start of the bombings in Gaza
(and before the ground invasion) — after the bodies of 1,903 children,
approximately 1,000 women, and 187 elderly men were counted in the Gaza
Strip — Israeli commentator Avi Issacharoff tweeted:
“As hard as it is to hear, on the 14th day of fighting, it does not
appear that the military arm of Hamas has been significantly harmed. The
most significant damage to the military leadership is the assassination
of [Hamas commander] Ayman Nofal.”
‘Fighting human animals’
Hamas militants regularly operate out
of an intricate network of tunnels built under large stretches of the
Gaza Strip. These tunnels, as confirmed by the former Israeli
intelligence officers we spoke to, also pass under homes and roads.
Therefore, Israeli attempts to destroy them with aerial strikes are in
many cases likely to lead to the killing of civilians. This may be
another reason for the high number of Palestinian families wiped out in
the current offensive.
The intelligence officers interviewed
for this article said that the way Hamas designed the tunnel network in
Gaza knowingly exploits the civilian population and infrastructure
above ground. These claims were also the basis of the media campaign
that Israel conducted vis-a-vis the attacks and raids on Al-Shifa
Hospital and the tunnels that were discovered under it.
Israel has also attacked a large
number of military targets: armed Hamas operatives, rocket launcher
sites, snipers, anti-tank squads, military headquarters, bases,
observation posts, and more. From the beginning of the ground invasion,
aerial bombardment and heavy artillery fire have been used to provide
backup to Israeli troops on the ground. Experts in international law say
these targets are legitimate, as long as the strikes comply with the
principle of proportionality.
In response to an enquiry from +972
and Local Call for this article, the IDF Spokesperson stated: “The IDF
is committed to international law and acts according to it, and in doing
so attacks military targets and does not attack civilians. The
terrorist organization Hamas places its operatives and military assets
in the heart of the civilian population. Hamas systematically uses the
civilian population as a human shield, and conducts combat from civilian
buildings, including sensitive sites such as hospitals, mosques,
schools, and UN facilities.”
Intelligence sources who spoke to
+972 and Local Call similarly claimed that in many cases Hamas
“deliberately endangers the civilian population in Gaza and tries to
forcefully prevent civilians from evacuating.” Two sources said that
Hamas leaders “understand that Israeli harm to civilians gives them
legitimacy in fighting.”
Destruction caused by Israeli bombings is
seen inside Al-Shati refugee camp, northern Gaza Strip, November 16,
2023. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
At the same time, while it’s hard to
imagine now, the idea of dropping a one-ton bomb aimed at killing a
Hamas operative yet ending up killing an entire family as “collateral
damage” was not always so readily accepted by large swathes of Israeli
society. In 2002, for example, the Israeli Air Force bombed the home of
Salah Mustafa Muhammad Shehade, then the head of the Al-Qassam Brigades,
Hamas’ military wing. The bomb killed him, his wife Eman, his
14-year-old daughter Laila, and 14 other civilians, including 11
children. The killing caused a public uproar in both Israel and the
world, and Israel was accused of committing war crimes.
That criticism led to a decision by
the Israeli army in 2003 to drop a smaller, quarter-ton bomb on a
meeting of top Hamas officials — including the elusive leader of
Al-Qassam Brigades, Mohammed Deif — taking place in a residential
building in Gaza, despite the fear that it would not be powerful enough
to kill them. In his book “To Know Hamas,” veteran Israeli journalist
Shlomi Eldar wrote that the decision to use a relatively small bomb was
due to the Shehade precedent, and the fear that a one-ton bomb would
kill the civilians in the building as well. The attack failed, and the
senior military wing officers fled the scene.
In December 2008, in the first major
war that Israel waged against Hamas after it seized power in Gaza, Yoav
Gallant, who at the time headed the IDF Southern Command, said that for
the first time Israel was “hitting the family homes” of senior Hamas
officials with the aim of destroying them, but not harming their
families. Gallant emphasized that the homes were attacked after the
families were warned by a “knock on the roof,” as well as by phone call,
after it was clear that Hamas military activity was taking place inside
the house.
After 2014’s Protective Edge, during
which Israel began to systematically strike family homes from the air,
human rights groups like B’Tselem
collected testimonies from Palestinians who survived these attacks. The
survivors said the homes collapsed in on themselves, glass shards cut
the bodies of those inside, the debris “smells of blood,” and people
were buried alive.
This deadly policy continues today —
thanks in part to the use of destructive weaponry and sophisticated
technology like Habsora, but also to a political and security
establishment that has loosened the reins on Israel’s military
machinery. Fifteen years after insisting that the army was taking pains
to minimize civilian harm, Gallant, now Defense Minister, has clearly
changed his tune. “We are fighting human animals and we act
accordingly,” he said after October 7.