The Washington Post, conveyor of the conventional wisdom, has just printed a telling testament to how Beltway culture functions. It is an op-ed by Stuart Stevens,
a former Republican political consultant who has purportedly seen the
light and has now denounced the GOP. In the wake of Donald Trump’s
campaign, we’ve seen a fair number of people like Stevens warn us about
their former party (as if we needed a reminder), and they’ve gone on to
form organizations like the Lincoln Project, of which Stevens is senior advisor.
An
unusually large number of these converts are political consultants—and
they make up the bulk of the Lincoln Project’s leadership. For those of
us who have worked in government and tried to stay honest, political
consultants represent the lowest form of animal life in the Beltway
ecosystem; we regarded them with about as much affection as we reserve
for the invasive Burmese Python. For a consultant like Stevens to have
moral qualms about the behavior of politicians is as remarkable as a
drug dealer cutting public service announcements about preventing
substance abuse.
Stevens tells us that we should look with fond
respect on Al Gore, the presidential candidate who so gracefully
conceded the 2000 election despite having more popular votes and despite
the fact that Florida, where the election was decided, was legitimately
in play even as the Supreme Court issued its diktat that George W. Bush had won the election.
It
is by no means clear that Gore lost that election. It is by no means
certain that the U.S. Supreme Court, a court now widely seen as
illegitimate and out of control, was acting in a nonpartisan manner even
then.
Gore, says Stevens, did the decent thing by conceding the
election gracefully, so unlike the crude vulgarians around Donald Trump
in 2020. Gore represented the spirit of civic democracy, now under
threat by MAGA. That’s easy to say for Stevens, who profited from his relationship with the Bush administration.
But
might we suppose that the maintenance of a healthy democracy should
require a little more controversy, a little more getting one’s hands
dirty, even a little more rancor, especially if one’s cause is just? It
is by no means clear that Gore lost that election. It is by no means
certain that the U.S. Supreme Court, a court now widely seen as
illegitimate and out of control, was acting in a nonpartisan manner even
then. It is definitely not assured that George W. Bush’s brother Jeb,
who happened to be governor of the state in contention, was averse to
putting his thumb on the scale.
Stevens doesn’t mention any of
that, or the fact that the then-chief justice, William Rehnquist, had a
daughter seeking a prospective Bush administration job (she got it). And Clarence Thomas, whose wife, Ginni, author of so much recent mischief, was then employed by the Heritage Foundation to vet job seekers in the hoped-for Bush presidency.
Perhaps
the Gore campaign should have been a bit more elbows-out, demanding
recusal of Rehnquist and Thomas as a condition of accepting the
jurisdiction of a court to decide an election rather than the normal
method of a supervised recount. What might then have happened lurches,
of course, into counterfactual territory, but there is no such thing as
historical determinism: the flow of events is contingent on real people
making actual decisions.
What would have been more important for
the future well-being of the United States: Al Gore setting an example
of gentlemanly civic behavior, as Stevens insists, or the Gore campaign
doing whatever it took, within the bounds of honesty and legality, to
transform his popular mandate into an electoral-college mandate?
It
is quite possible that future historians will judge 9/11 and its
extended fallout as an inflection point for the United States as
significant as the Civil War, even though its consequences are less
obvious. September 11, 2001 set in motion a chain of events that has
still not played out, with each event a seismic shock destabilizing the
country.
Any honest examination of 9/11 must begin with the fact
that the Bush administration was hardly less than willfully negligent in
failing to protect the country, with the August 6, 2001 president’s
daily brief titled “Bin Laden determined to strike in U.S.” being Exhibit A for the prosecution. Bush’s response to the briefers was “you’ve covered your ass,” after which he played golf and cut brush at his summer ranch for almost a month.
It
is hardly wild speculation to think that Gore, an Armed Services
Committee member in the Senate before becoming vice president for eight
years, might have reacted differently and put the appropriate agencies
on alert, just as the Clinton administration had done when it foiled the
so-called millennial bomb plot.
Gore’s qualifications were certainly deeper than Bush’s, whose only
previous acquaintance with national security was going AWOL from an air
national guard unit.
As it was, 9/11 with its
xenophobic revenge fantasies, hubris turned to grief on the stony soil
of the Middle East, financial roulette where the billionaires always
win, and color-coded threat warnings made a large swath of the American
people functionally mentally ill.
No 9/11 means no Global War on
Terror, a two-decade exercise in grandiose futility that thoroughly
ruined two countries, gave rise to ISIS, and cost an estimated $8 trillion.
And no Bush tax cuts, which instantly transformed a budget surplus into
the large and intractable deficits that Republicans incessantly
complain about (at least when they don’t control the White House).
Further
idle speculation, but would Gore have let the foxes run the chicken
coup as Bush did with respect to financial regulation? The whole
spectacle of liar mortgage loans, synthetic CDOs, and massive credit
default swaps resulted in perhaps the most predictable financial
collapse in history, resulting in three years of lost growth that can
never be recouped, more deficits, blighted lives, and increased public
cynicism.
Without all of that, there may have been no public
clamor for a dictator, and consequently no violent attempt to overthrow
the Constitution. As it was, 9/11 with its xenophobic revenge fantasies,
hubris turned to grief on the stony soil of the Middle East, financial
roulette where the billionaires always win, and color-coded threat
warnings made a large swath of the American people functionally mentally
ill. Some even gush with enthusiasm at the prospect of dictatorial rule.
Trump may go, but they will latch onto some other charlatan as a
substitute Jesus-figure to worship. The rest of us will likely have to
deal with all of this for the rest of our lives.
Beltway culture,
which has been gradually “wired” to be Republican since the 1980s,
apparently thinks all the disasters of the last two decades have been
worth it, because it preserved the political parties in their scripted
roles: Republicans as the rule-breaking but lovable Cool Kids, and
Democrats as the gentlemanly losers.