Gazans began leaving eastern Rafah on Monday after Israel’s military issued a call for residents there to “evacuate immediately,” raising questions over whether Israel will soon carry out its long-threatened assault on the city.
During nearly seven months of war, more than 1 million Palestinians have fled to Rafah, where Hamas is believed to have regrouped after Israel’s destruction of much of the strip’s north.
The city has become the central focus of the war as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces growing pressure from the extreme wing of his coalition to launch a full-scale ground operation on Rafah to destroy Hamas, while the more moderate wing has urged him to prioritize securing a ceasefire-for-hostages deal.
It was unclear whether the evacuation order signals a prelude to an assault, but it came a day after Israel’s defense minister told troops in Gaza to expect “intense action in Rafah in the near future.” Netanyahu also insisted Israel would defend itself even if “forced to stand alone,” defying international pressure for his country’s military to limit its campaign in Gaza.
A member of Hamas’ political bureau, Izzat Al-Rashq, has warned that any incursion into Rafah will “not be a picnic” for the Israeli military, and that it would put the ceasefire negotiations in “jeopardy.”
Negotiations over the ceasefire deal have stalled once again, after Israel and Hamas failed to reach an agreement over the weekend. Hamas has demanded Israel commits to ending the war, which Netanyahu has refused, two Israeli sources said. Some Israeli officials hope that the evacuation orders in eastern Rafah will pressure Hamas to change its position, as efforts to strike a deal continue this week.
CIA Director William Burns is continuing negotiations in Doha on Monday, a day after stopping in Cairo for the talks. A senior Biden administration official said Israel’s warnings about Rafah are “directly related” to the lack of progress. Israel is trying to put pressure on Hamas, the official said, adding, “If it doesn’t work, Israel will go in.”
After a call with US President Joe Biden, Netanyahu agreed to ensure the reopening of the Kerem Shalom border crossing to humanitarian aid. The crossing was closed after it was hit by at least 10 rockets Sunday morning, according to the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), killing three soldiers and injuring three others in an attack claimed by Hamas. The crossing has been central to getting aid into Gaza.
It was unclear if the call for evacuation was in response to the attack at Kerem Shalom. Colonel Nadav Shoshani, the IDF’s international spokesperson, said in a briefing that Israel’s order was a “limited scope operation to temporarily evacuate” and “not wide-scale evacuation.”
A CNN stringer in Rafah’s east said that people were terrified and in a state of panic, while video and images showed displaced people packing their belongings into the back of pick-up trucks, cars and donkey-drawn carts as they prepared to leave.
Children were seen sitting among tanks of fuel and plastic bags filled with possessions, while families left with mattresses strapped to the roof of their cars.
Avichay Adraee, head of the Arab media division of the IDF Spokesperson’s Unit, wrote, “For your safety, the Defense Army urges you to evacuate immediately to the expanded humanitarian area at the checkpoints.”
Adraee made “an urgent call” to people who were residing in “the municipality of Al-Shawka and in the neighborhoods — Al-Salam, Al-Jneina, Tiba Zaraa, and Al-Bayouk in the Rafah area.”
Israel has ordered Palestinians to leave to Al-Mawasi, a coastal town near the city of Khan Younis, where an “expanded humanitarian area” has been created.
“I’m going to Al-Mawasi, I didn’t receive any evacuation order. I’m leaving before others do. Nothing is left”, Abu Ihab Eweida, a Palestinian man in Rafah told Tareq Al Hilou. a local journalist working for CNN.
In a video obtained for CNN, Eweida is seen gathering his aid boxes, blankets and water from his tent in the Jneina camp east of Rafah, where he lived with his two sons.
“I don’t want to witness what people will do. I will just leave,” Eweida said.
The main United Nations agency for Palestinian refugees (UNRWA) has warned that Al-Mawasi is not appropriate for habitation.
“It’s really not somewhere that’s quite suitable for people to put up tents and to be able to sit and try to live and meet their basic necessities every day,” Scott Anderson, Director of UNRWA affairs in Gaza, told CNN Monday.
Israel’s constant bombardment of Gaza since October 7 has devastated the besieged enclave, reducing whole neighborhoods to rubble, throttling food, fuel and water supplies, and forcibly displacing many of those seeking shelter in Rafah multiple times in the seven months of war.
Aid agencies have been warning Israel against launching a full-scale ground invasion of Rafah, saying “any ground operation would mean more suffering and death” for the 1.2 million displaced Palestinians sheltering in and around the city, OCHA spokesperson Jens Laerke told journalists in Geneva.
Northern Gaza is already experiencing a “full-blown famine” which is rapidly spreading across the strip, the World Food Programme warned over the weekend.
Meanwhile, Israel is continuing its aerial bombardment of the city. At least 26 people there, including babies and children, were killed in airstrikes overnight into Monday, in an attack targeting 11 houses in a residential area, Gaza’s Civil Defense said. Eight more people were killed in strikes in other parts of Gaza, according to local officials.
Israel has repeatedly signaled plans to send troops into Rafah, a southern city on the border with Egypt, where more than 1 million displaced Palestinians are believed to have taken refuge since October 7.
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant told troops Sunday morning inside Gaza to expect “intense action in Rafah in the near future, and in other places all over the strip,” because - as he put it - Hamas does not intend to reach an agreement on hostages and a ceasefire.
The IDF would also not put an exact timeframe for how long people in eastern Rafah have to evacuate or offer assurances that the area they would move to would not be shelled.
“We’re having real-time situational assessments and assessing the situation,” said the IDF’s Shoshani.
He said the current evacuation impacts about 100,000 people.
When asked by CNN about the operational reason for the move Shoshani said, “It’s part of our of our plans to dismantle Hamas, and as I said, we had a violent reminder of their presence and their operational abilities and welfare yesterday and as part of our plans to dismantle from us and to bring back our hostages.”
Previous orders from Israel to evacuate parts of Gaza ahead of military operations have been met with criticism from the United Nations and humanitarian groups, which have repeatedly said there is no safe space in the strip for people to flee to.
The IDF said it dropped flyers into eastern Rafah to residents and people sheltering “in the Rafah Camp, the Brazil Camp and the neighborhoods Al-Shabura and Al-Zohour” to evacuate as “remaining in these areas puts your lives in danger.”
It directed residents toward Al-Mawasi, a narrow, barren, coastal strip to the west of Khan Younis, that has been designated by Israel as an “expanded humanitarian area.”
However, there is little relief from Israeli bombs or respite from the humanitarian catastrophe throughout the strip, where malnutrition is rapidly spreading and more than 34,600 people have been killed since October, according to Palestinian authorities in Gaza.
In January, 14 people including children were killed by an Israeli airstrike on a house in Al-Mawasi, local authorities said.
And areas once designated safe zones by the Israeli military have been decimated once forces move in. Early in the war, the Israeli military designated Khan Younis as a safer zone and told residents from northern Gaza to seek shelter there. But as the IDF pushed to the south, Khan Younis became its next focus and the city was left devastated.
The United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) said it is “not evacuating” and that the agency “will maintain a presence in Rafah as long as possible and will continue providing lifesaving aid to people.”
Wael Abu Omar, the UNRWA media director at the Rafah crossing said, “Until now, the Rafah land crossing has not been closed to passenger traffic. Truck movement and aid entry have been halted at the Rafah commercial and Kerem Shalom crossings since yesterday afternoon.”
Correction: This article was updated to remove a quote erroneously attributed to an IDF spokesperson saying residents “have days at least to move.” The spokesperson did not give a timeline.
CNN’s Sandi Sidhu and Ibrahim Dahman contributed to this report.