[Salon] Taking a stand



Taking a stand

Summary: a senior Middle East security and defence analyst argues that even at this late date the UK can play a significant role in seeking to prevent a wider regional war in the Middle East.

As the region and the world wait to see how Israel will respond to Iran’s missile barrage which the Iranians says was in retaliation for the assassination of the Hezbollah secretary general Hassan Nasrallah and the earlier killing of the Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran the UK government has reiterated its unqualified support for Israel and the Netanyahu government. "We stand with Israel and we recognise her right to self-defence in the face of this aggression," Prime Minister Starmer said on Tuesday evening. That support is causing unease including within his own Labour Party. Yesterday BBC Radio 4’s Today programme contacted “many Labour MPs” who presenter Nick Robinson said “were wondering why he was not equally clear in his condemnation of Israel’s actions in Gaza.” Robinson went on to say:

One spoke of the prime minister’s hypocrisy and asked why he did not call out Israel’s wrongdoing. Another accused Sir Keir of taking a partisan position in the conflict. A third said his words had massively emboldened Israel.

None were prepared to go public out of fear of being bounced from the parliamentary party as happened to the former Labour MP, now sitting as an Independent, Zarah Sultana who told Robinson that Starmer was not reflecting British public opinion: “67% think Israel has committed war crimes, 56% support blocking all weapons sales to Israel and 84% think Benjamin Netanyahu should be arrested if he comes to the UK.” She also said it was “deeply concerning people won’t go public because they are scared for their jobs.” (The full segment is here beginning at 1’37:30)


Torah Jews standing with Hezbollah and the Lebanese people against Zionism [photo credit: @TorahJudaism]

In order to further inform the debate, Arab Digest is publishing comments made by Andreas Krieg assistant professor at the Defence Studies Department of King's College London in this week’s podcast. The podcast was recorded before the Iranian attack.

The UK, it can be argued, has an historic responsibility for this conflict. Here in the UK what are we doing? What is Keir Starmer's government doing? 

The biggest problem that the UK has, both previous government and the new Labour government, is that we're catering too much to a weak United States government. We're trying to copy and paste what Washington is doing. Washington is always directly interfering as well whenever the UK does think about a recognition of Palestine or it does think about potentially supporting the ICC or ICJ. The UK has immense soft power. It's a rallying point. If the UK takes a decision, even the one on not renewing some arms export licences to Israel, that sends a signal that other European (countries) might rally around. And the UK underestimates its soft power in the region (the Middle East) and its responsibility to the region, as well as the way that if the UK does something it has a particular bearing on people in the Arab world, in the wider Middle East. And if the UK doesn't lead, and I think it should, and just follows on from the lack of leadership from the US or trying to copy and paste what the US is doing or not doing, it misses an opportunity. The Labour government has an opportunity to fill a vacuum left by the Biden administration to at least lead on the basis of international law and norms and conventions. Nobody's saying you need to take a side. It's not about being pro-Israel, being pro-Palestine, or pro-Hamas or whatever. This is about taking a stand on the basis of international law. And this is what the UK is known for. Now obviously France is trying to take a leadership role in Lebanon so I think there is a lot of engagement trying to get a ceasefire proposal onto the table. But I don't think the Israelis would take it. We're in a very similar situation that we've been in for 12 months in Gaza where the Israelis are trying to at every corner whenever there is a concession made by Hamas Netanyahu ignores that. We'll be in a similar situation in Lebanon; we've seen it last week, the Americans saying we've got a deal, we're very confident it can be done and then Netanyahu says, no, we're not going to do it. What can the UK do in this situation? Not much. But it can lead based on principle and it can be a rallying point for other leaders and other actors in the region to come up with a joint position. And I think one thing the UK should do is recognise Palestine as a state. That sends a very strong message to the international community that we do believe in the principle of self-determination for Palestinians.

How about sanctioning the far-right ministers Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir?

I think we're not far away from that. I think that could be done without any necessary harm to UK-Israeli relations. I don't think it would receive too much opposition from the Jewish community here or from other pro-Israel circles in the UK. I think it could be done, and the US has already taken some steps. The problem here again the UK would never do something that the US hasn't done already. What I'm saying is leadership means you set the new boundaries of discourse. As the UK you set the boundaries of what's acceptable and what is not acceptable and then hope others will fall in line. I think that's something that needs to happen. These people Smotrich and Ben-Gvir support Jewish terrorism in the West Bank. It is as simple as that and they should be dealt with in the same way that we're dealing with Hamas and Hezbollah. If you commit terrorism, based on principle you're a terrorist and you'll be outlawed and sanctioned.

We're in this situation now a little more than a month away from the presidential election. It's a time of opportunity for Netanyahu which he will exploit because of the weakness of the Biden administration. But the UK - and you make a very good point - could take a leadership role, could stand up and make a statement. I'm not very optimistic we will do that Andreas but we have to hope something will break that stops this slide towards all out war.

I think we're in a situation where things are breaking already in the UK. When it comes to Israel, on both sides of the political divide, across the civil service and even across the military, people I speak to are increasingly critical in a way that they weren't 12 months ago. They're saying things that I didn't think would have been possible to say a year ago. So the longer the war goes on, the more strategically damaged the relationship between Israel institutions and UK institutions will be.

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