[Salon] Trump sights turn on Europe





This is likely to be a crunch week for Trump’s EU relations
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You’ve got to hand it to US Vice President JD Vance: Showing up in Paris on the day that US tariffs are supposed to hit the European Union is a bold move.

Assuming he follows through, President Donald Trump’s 25% levies on steel and aluminum will be the first of his new administration to affect the 27-nation bloc.

Vance’s beef is on another front.

A former venture capitalist with ties to Silicon Valley, he’s in town for a summit on artificial intelligence hosted by President Emmanuel Macron that presents the first of several opportunities for European leaders to witness the Trump administration up close this week.

WATCH: Trump speaks to reporters yesterday on Air Force One.

Each threatens to be a bruising experience for the European side.

Vance, who frequently posts his support for Elon Musk, has suggested that European efforts to regulate US big tech hurt free speech, mentioning it in the same breath as US support for NATO.

Coincidentally or not, former Fox News presenter turned US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is due to attend meetings with NATO allies this week to discuss backing for Ukraine.

That’s ahead of the Munich Security Conference starting Friday, when Secretary of State Marco Rubio will join the US delegation that’s expected to float its plans to end the three-year war triggered by Russia’s invasion.

The Kremlin yesterday declined to confirm or deny that President Vladimir Putin had discussed the war with Trump. The fear in European capitals is that direct talks would undermine Ukraine’s position and shut Europe out of any decisions taken affecting the continent.

After dinging South Africa, wading into the Middle East, threatening America’s neighbors and slapping at China, it looks like Europe is now in Trump’s sights.

Just what his intentions are — and what he wants in return — is likely to become clearer in the days ahead. — Alan Crawford

An aluminum foundry in Dunkirk, France. Photographer: Nathan Laine/Bloomberg

Global Must Reads

Saudi Arabia reaffirmed its “categorical rejection” of comments by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu proposing to resettle Palestinians from Gaza. Israel meanwhile pulled troops and tanks out of a belt of land in the strip after recovering three more hostages as part of a staggered ceasefire with Hamas, though prospects of a de-facto end to the war remain unclear.

A protest in Tel Aviv on Saturday calling for the release of hostages held captive in Gaza. Photographer: Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images

Trump froze all US aid to South Africa over what he falsely claimed were the violations of rights of ethnic-minority Afrikaners stemming from a new land-expropriation law, as well as its allegations of genocide against Israel. A White Afrikaans group’s years of lobbying right-wing US politicians culminated in the order, sparking an unusually united condemnation across the political spectrum in South Africa, which overcame apartheid.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba went into his first summit meeting with Trump amid concerns in Tokyo that Japan could be next in the tariff firing line of US allies after Canada and others. Instead, he flew home from Washington having appeared to strike up a warm relationship with the American president, saying upon his return to Japan: “I do think we have chemistry.”

Kosovo’s prime minister secured a parliamentary election victory as voters backed his pledge to root out corruption and swiftly integrate Serb-majority regions, even as his approach has irked Western allies. Albin Kurti’s Self-Determination Movement won 42% of the vote in the landlocked Balkan state yesterday, according to preliminary results, though he’ll need to seek coalition partners, complicating a bid to extend his five-year rule.

Kurti at an election rally in Obiliq. Photographer: Atdhe Mulla/Bloomberg

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz struggled yesterday to land the decisive blow he urgently needs on conservative frontrunner Friedrich Merz in the first of two televised debates going into snap elections on Feb. 23. Time is fast running out for Social Democrat Scholz, with Merz, who heads the CDU/CSU alliance, sitting on an average lead in opinion polls of around 14 percentage points ahead of the far-right Alternative for Germany and the chancellor’s SPD in third.

Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia successfully disconnected from Russia’s electricity grid and plugged into continental Europe’s network, securing long-sought energy independence from Moscow.

Socialist challenger Luisa González did better than forecast in Ecuador’s presidential election, likely forcing President Daniel Noboa into an April 13 runoff in the crisis-hit nation. 

Billionaire Marcelo Claure floated the idea of offering a $1 million reward for Bolivian ex-president Evo Morales, who is the subject of an arrest warrant.

Marriages in China plunged by a fifth to the lowest level on record last year, a setback to efforts by the government to reverse a demographic crisis threatening the world’s second-biggest economy.

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Chart of the Day

Middle Eastern investors will inject roughly £2 billion ($2.5 billion) into London’s best offices this year to capitalize on values bottoming out, according to broker Knight Frank. Gulf institutions are looking to take advantage of lower prices, strong rental growth and reduced borrowing costs.

And Finally

Trump’s decision last month to suspend a program used by migrants to cross the Mexican border and request asylum stranded thousands of people who had been waiting to hand themselves in to US officials. It has transformed frontier towns from pass-throughs — where job opportunities are scant and services are only meant to be temporary — to migrants’ final stops. To deal with the fallout, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum is directing resources toward giant tarp-covered facilities and has begun to deploy the National Guard to border states.

A school at the migrant shelter in Ciudad Juarez. Photographer: Mariceu Erthal/Bloomberg

Thanks to the 36 people who answered the Friday quiz and congratulations to Thomas Hawley who was first to correctly identify France as the country where the prime minister survived two no-confidence motions last week.

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