The words spoken by Mr Witkoff said the guarantee will be ‘codified’. Presumably he means that it will be come by way of a treaty which will need to be ratified by all NATO members. What are the chances of that happening? Probably as strong as any NATO member actually honouring that guarantee with a drop of their own citizens’ blood (See: Budapest memorandum). What’s more likely is that Mr Putin at last achieves his number one aim: the dissolution of the Atlantic Alliance. Talleyrand is free today. But if you enjoyed this post, you can tell Talleyrand that their writing is valuable by pledging a future subscription. You won't be charged unless they enable payments. |