Lawyers often stretch the facts to make their case, but even so, this was quite the howler from U.S. Solicitor General John Sauer in defense of President Trump’s tariffs at the Supreme Court on Wednesday: “They are not revenue-raising tariffs.”
Excuse me? Of course they are. Revenue is why Trump loves tariffs. For years he has dreamed of charging other countries for the privilege of selling to the U.S. He has boasted of the cash his tariffs have raised, how they could replace the income tax, finance farmer bailouts and maybe fund tariff rebate checks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who attended Wednesday’s session, has extolled tariffs’ contribution to deficit reduction.
So why was Sauer arguing otherwise? Because the Constitution assigns authority to raise revenue via tariffs and taxes to Congress. By claiming that Trump’s rationale is quite different from what he has actually said, Sauer hoped to persuade the Supreme Court to let the tariffs stand.
More than these particular tariffs are at stake: So is a bedrock principle of American governance. The framers gave legislators the power of the purse to ensure the president couldn’t acquire the dictatorial powers of a king.
That principle has been eroding for generations as the imperial presidency has encroached on Congress. It went into overdrive this year as Trump arbitrarily extracted money or equity from companies needing favors from the federal government, withheld appropriated funds from universities, states and others, and effectively defunded statutorily-created agencies such as USAID and the Education Department out of existence. Republicans in both the House and Senate have not only stood by, but often cheered him on.
The conservative-dominated Supreme Court put limits on some of President Joe Biden’s actions, but it hasn’t done so yet for Trump. Philosophically, it tends to see the president’s authority over foreign policy or the executive branch quite broadly.
But even for this court, allowing any president to impose the largest tax increase since 1982 ($3.9 trillion over a decade, Trump’s own budget office estimates) without any input from Congress may be a bridge too far.
At one point, Justice Neil Gorsuch, illuminating his own thinking, said: “The really key part of the context here…is [that] the constitutional assignment of the taxing power to Congress, the power to reach into the pockets of the American people, is just different and it’s been different since the founding.”
The case is superficially narrow and technical. Trump has raised tariffs on almost every country to rates as high as 100%, invoking the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
The law allows the president to “regulate” imports to counter emergencies originating abroad. Trump claims “regulate” goes beyond the tools presidents usually use, such as sanctions, to tariffs. His opponents say Congress didn’t intend the law to authorize tariffs, noting that numerous other statutes do—for example, to address the trade deficit or unfair trading practices. Lower courts have ruled against Trump.
Trump argues tariffs are a logical tool to carry out foreign policy, like embargoes and sanctions, which fall more squarely under the president’s sole purview. That’s why Sauer sought to sever the connection to revenue. “The fact that they raise revenue is only incidental. The tariffs would be most effective, so to speak, if no person ever paid them,” because they would have achieved their goal of changing another country’s behavior, or diverting all American purchases away from imports to domestic goods, he said.
Yet Trump regularly undermines these rationales, recently telling CBS’s “60 Minutes” that the U.S. doesn’t want to make some of the products he has tariffed, such as underwear. He has lowered, but not eliminated, tariffs on countries that struck deals.
It isn’t the mere fact of the tariffs that upsets the constitutional order, but their magnitude and breadth. Opponents argue they violate two principles key to the separation of powers. Under the “major questions doctrine,” presidents may not read authority with broad economic or political ramifications into a statute without clear guidance from Congress. Under the “nondelegation doctrine,” Congress may not cede its legislative duties to anyone else. Sauer argued neither applied in this case, as Trump’s tariffs fall under his power to steer foreign policy, a presidential duty.
But the court wasn’t buying it. Trump is using “power to impose tariffs on any product from any country in any amount for any length of time. It does seem like that’s a major authority,” Chief Justice John Roberts said. His “vehicle is imposition of taxes on Americans, and that has always been the core power of Congress.”
Justice Elena Kagan said, “A tax with no ceiling, a tax that can be anything, that here the president wants, there an agency wants, would raise a pretty deep delegation problem.”
The hearing suggests at least six of the nine justices—the three liberals, Roberts, Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett—are ready to uphold the lower court’s decision and rule against Trump.
Trump has claimed this would “literally destroy the United States of America.”
This doesn’t seem likely. He would lose some revenue, but not all, because some tariffs were imposed under authorities not at issue in this case. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates $90 billion of the $195 billion collected so far is at risk.
Going forward, Trump could recapture lost revenue with other tariff authorities. This might constrain his negotiating leverage, but not by much.
The more important consequence is for American governance. Trump has built his agenda, from tariffs to deportations to attacks on alleged Venezuelan drug runners on largely unchecked presidential authority. Should he prevail in this case, he could raise almost any sort of tax simply by invoking an emergency with some foreign connection, however tenuous. A future president could declare a climate emergency and impose a carbon tax.
As Gorsuch noted, Congress could, practically speaking, not get these powers back, since that would require a two-thirds majority in both chambers to override the president’s inevitable veto.
“It’s a one-way ratchet toward the gradual but continual accretion of power in the executive branch and away from the people’s elected representatives,” Gorsuch said. The justices’ message Wednesday: It may be time to stop.
Write to Greg Ip at greg.ip@wsj.com